Mogrovejo
Rookie
Posts: 90
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« on: October 09, 2014, 03:29:46 PM » |
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There are always some House races that surprise everyone by suddenly becoming competitive late in the cycle seemingly out of nowhere - sometimes even in the electoral night. More often in wave years, but not unheard of in neutral years.
MA-09 is as good of a bet for that upset role as any other district. First time Keating runs here in a midterm. Lots of voters used to split the ticket to vote Republican. We'll see if the national committees start spending here.
Symmetrically (sort of, this scenario is way more far-fetched), maybe Mia Love is just an incredibly weak candidate for UT-04, 2010 wasn't just about Matheson's incumbency and there's something to the Dem internal.
In any case, no reason to dismiss upsets in races currently rated as Likely/Safe.
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