KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 06:23:05 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: KS-CNN/ORC: Exact Tie  (Read 2789 times)
JRP1994
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,045


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 08, 2014, 03:09:09 PM »

http://www.cnn.com/2014/10/08/politics/kansas-senate-poll/index.html

Brownback: 49%
Davis: 49%
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,875


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2014, 03:10:47 PM »

I doubt it, but okay.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2014, 03:22:16 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2014, 03:22:51 PM »

Something different, little skeptical but certainly promotes the idea that this is a toss-up.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2014, 03:35:59 PM »

Sam the man.
Logged
King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 29,357
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2014, 03:38:36 PM »

>98% have made a decision
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2014, 04:27:03 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2014, 04:47:22 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

Sammy better start clicking his heels, because soon he won't be in Kansas anymore.
Logged
SPC
Chuck Hagel 08
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,004
Latvia


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2014, 04:56:40 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2014, 05:22:56 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Logged
DrScholl
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,926
United States


Political Matrix
E: -5.55, S: -3.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2014, 05:56:34 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Yes, read him.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2014, 10:03:29 PM »

I'm really shocked that the people complaining about someone else taking things too seriously are taking things too seriously themselves! Shocked, I tell you!
Logged
Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,528
United States


Political Matrix
E: -9.42, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: October 09, 2014, 12:09:46 AM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: October 09, 2014, 12:52:24 AM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,577
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: October 09, 2014, 01:23:49 AM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.
Keystone Phil confirmed to be 5 years old.

Am Phil's mom, can confirm.
Physically impossible, Phil joined in '04. I suggest getting back on topic.
Logged
Badger
badger
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,237
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: October 09, 2014, 11:12:18 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: October 10, 2014, 05:37:49 AM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. Wink
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: October 10, 2014, 09:43:18 AM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. Wink

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.
Logged
Andrew1
Rookie
**
Posts: 102
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: October 10, 2014, 01:26:58 PM »

Davis has held a narrow lead all year, but this race does seem to be tightening. I doubt the strip club incident made much difference, the sort of very socially conservative voters who would be affected by this are likely to be solid Brownback supporters.

But Davis has had to keep a lot of moderate Republicans on his side all year, I can believe that after an intense campaign some of them are just naturally drifting back to Brownback, despite all his faults.

Polls have shown Davis getting up to 27% of the Republican vote. He may find that difficult to maintain. I suspect this race goes right down to the wire, neither candidate will win by more than 1%.
Logged
windjammer
Atlas Politician
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,512
France


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: October 10, 2014, 02:20:06 PM »

Impossible.

You can't have only 2% undecided right now.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,611


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: October 10, 2014, 04:22:36 PM »

CNN also said NH-Sen was a tie. Outlier.

LOL OMG AND DIDNT THEY SAY SARKOZY WOULD BE RE-ELECTED AND THAT COLOMBIA WOULD WIN THE WORLD CUP THIS YEAR? HA HA

While you are hardly unique in this regard, most people would probably have more respect for someone who, with a history of making predictions defying conventional wisdom that did not pan out, expressed greater epistemic uncertainty when making a similar prediction in the present, and did not make ad hominem attacks against those who subscribed to conventional wisdom. True, you too have been victim of ad hominem attacks, but those are in large part a (desired?) consequence of your conduct agitating for a dispute.

Shut up.

Yeah, sometimes when one gets burned that bad, a coherent response is not readily available.

As I said in another thread, maybe the people that groan about how I have to "calm down" can possibly convince themselves that my tone in these posts aren't exactly as serious as you think...Maybe demonstrate some, hmmm, epistemic uncertainty of their own. Wink

When he gets called out for his childish ways, he claims to be 'joking'. He's clearly not ready for primetime.

I pray for you.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.059 seconds with 13 queries.