Fox Polls for KS, AK, AR, KY CO

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

AK, AR, KY seem about right. KS is obviously significantly off. CO is too - not so much because of the spread but because it shows Udall at only 37%.

[cinyc]

Quinnipiac's poll was wildly inflated, and it's pretty old by now. I think Fox News is playing games here, as most other pollster are not showing this many undecideds. They pulled a stunt with the LA-Sen poll.

Yeah, I'm sure the Democratic pollster Anderson Robbins Research who is part of the bipartisan duo that polls for Fox News is allowing Fox News to play games with polls by not reporting undecideds.  After all, they have no incentive to show the Democratic candidates up.

You just can't take polls that show your candidates down at face value, can you?

[Eraserhead]

This looks like a bunch of Republican fantasy junk.

Kind of interesting to see McConnell tied with Sullivan for the smallest leads here though.

[Free Bird]

I thought FOX was fairly decent at polls. Just because the network is hilarious doesn't mean all polls are automatically junk.

[IceSpear]

Quinnipiac's poll was wildly inflated, and it's pretty old by now. I think Fox News is playing games here, as most other pollster are not showing this many undecideds. They pulled a stunt with the LA-Sen poll.

Yeah, I'm sure the Democratic pollster Anderson Robbins Research who is part of the bipartisan duo that polls for Fox News is allowing Fox News to play games with polls by not reporting undecideds.  After all, they have no incentive to show the Democratic candidates up.

You just can't take polls that show your candidates down at face value, can you?

Well let's not forget that Alan Colmes and Pat Caddell are some examples of "FOX News Democrats". It really depends whether or not Anderson Robbins Research is in that mold of eunuch Democrats or not.

And he brought up a good point, that FOX's previous Louisiana poll has now been shown to be complete bogus.

[Matty]

Are these polls junk?

[DrScholl]

Quinnipiac's poll was wildly inflated, and it's pretty old by now. I think Fox News is playing games here, as most other pollster are not showing this many undecideds. They pulled a stunt with the LA-Sen poll.

Yeah, I'm sure the Democratic pollster Anderson Robbins Research who is part of the bipartisan duo that polls for Fox News is allowing Fox News to play games with polls by not reporting undecideds.  After all, they have no incentive to show the Democratic candidates up.

You just can't take polls that show your candidates down at face value, can you?

Take many seats, please. It's the huge number of undecideds that make these polls suspect, seeing as no one else is showing such high undecideds anymore. Even if there is a Democratic pollster on staff, pollsters are still paid to do a job and pushing leaners was not part of the job.

[krazen1211]

Oh, wow! Multiple thrashings.

[cinyc]

Take many seats, please. It's the huge number of undecideds that make these polls suspect, seeing as no one else is showing such high undecideds anymore. Even if there is a Democratic pollster on staff, pollsters are still paid to do a job and pushing leaners was not part of the job.

So I guess the recent Survey USA (11%), Marist (15%) and Suffolk (13%) Kansas polls, which showed HIGHER undecideds than this Fox News Poll (10%) are even more suspect than the Fox News poll?  Or are those polls okay because they show the candidate you want in the lead and this one doesn't?

Plenty of pollsters are showing undecideds in the 7-13% range right now, like these Fox News polls, especially in Kansas.  Look it up in the database if you don't believe me.  Or just find another thing "wrong" about the poll to discredit it because you don't like the result, like you always do.

[DrScholl]

Take many seats, please. It's the huge number of undecideds that make these polls suspect, seeing as no one else is showing such high undecideds anymore. Even if there is a Democratic pollster on staff, pollsters are still paid to do a job and pushing leaners was not part of the job.

So I guess the recent Survey USA (11%), Marist (15%) and Suffolk (13%) Kansas polls, which showed HIGHER undecideds than this Fox News Poll (10%) are even more suspect than the Fox News poll?  Or are those polls okay because they show the candidate you want in the lead and this one doesn't?

Plenty of pollsters are showing undecideds in the 7-13% range right now, like these Fox News polls, especially in Kansas.  Look it up in the database if you don't believe me.  Or just find another thing "wrong" about the poll to discredit it because you don't like the result, like you always do.

Once again, I have to tell you to calm down, because you just go into some angry mode. At this stage, I find it hard to believe any of the candidates is actually in the 30s at this point. I'm not discrediting the polls because I don't like the result.

[Mogrovejo]

When there are so many polls showing double digits undecideds (the CNN/ORC poll is the outlier here), and all type of polls (robo, livecalling, RDD, voter file), I don't think it's wise to bet against them. This Kansas race has developed very oddly and unexpectedly, it's not that far-fetched many LVs still haven't made a decision.

[Maxwell]

Polls showing Orman leading are officially outliers.

Never change buddy

[krazen1211]

Spot the outlier!


RCP Average   9/13 - 10/7   --   --   44.8   43.5   Gardner +1.3
FOX News   10/4 - 10/7   739 LV   3.5   43   37   Gardner +6
CBS News/NYT/YouGov   9/20 - 10/1   1634 LV   3.0   45   48   Udall +3
Rasmussen Reports   9/29 - 9/30   950 LV   3.0   48   47   Gardner +1
USA Today/Suffolk*   9/13 - 9/16   500 LV   4.4   43   42   Gardner +1
Quinnipiac*   9/10 - 9/15   1211 LV   2.8   48   40   Gardner +8

[free my dawg]

"News"

Spot the outlier!


RCP Average   9/13 - 10/7   --   --   44.8   43.5   Gardner +1.3
FOX News   10/4 - 10/7   739 LV   3.5   43   37   Gardner +6
CBS News/NYT/YouGov   9/20 - 10/1   1634 LV   3.0   45   48   Udall +3
Rasmussen Reports   9/29 - 9/30   950 LV   3.0   48   47   Gardner +1
USA Today/Suffolk*   9/13 - 9/16   500 LV   4.4   43   42   Gardner +1
Quinnipiac*   9/10 - 9/15   1211 LV   2.8   48   40   Gardner +8

In all fairness YouGov is a steaming pile of sh*t that I've disregarded.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

538 on why these polls don't tell us anything new.

[Eraserhead]

Republicans lead in every single race.

RIP Democratic party.

It's probably for the best.

[IceSpear]

Spot the outlier!


RCP Average   9/13 - 10/7   --   --   44.8   43.5   Gardner +1.3
FOX News   10/4 - 10/7   739 LV   3.5   43   37   Gardner +6
CBS News/NYT/YouGov   9/20 - 10/1   1634 LV   3.0   45   48   Udall +3
Rasmussen Reports   9/29 - 9/30   950 LV   3.0   48   47   Gardner +1
USA Today/Suffolk*   9/13 - 9/16   500 LV   4.4   43   42   Gardner +1
Quinnipiac*   9/10 - 9/15   1211 LV   2.8   48   40   Gardner +8

FOX, YouGov, and Quinnipiac. That was easy.

In fact, Udall +3 is actually closer to the average than Gardner +6 or Gardner +8 is. Median is Gardner +1 as well, Gardner +1.5 if you count the PPP poll that RCP doesn't list.

[IceSpear]

FiveThirtyEight wrote an article about these polls:

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http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senate-update-dont-go-crazy/

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Kansas Senator by Fox News on 2014-10-07

Summary: D: 0%, R: 44%, I: 39%, U: 19%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[Tender Branson]

Reminds me of a song from the band "Garbage":

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Not more to add to these Faux News polls.

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Alaska Senator by Fox News on 2014-10-07

Summary: D: 40%, R: 44%, I: 6%, U: 10%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Arkansas Senator by Fox News on 2014-10-07

Summary: D: 39%, R: 46%, I: 5%, U: 11%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Fox News on 2014-10-07

Summary: D: 37%, R: 43%, I: 7%, U: 12%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[ElectionAtlas]

New Poll: Kentucky Senator by Fox News on 2014-10-07

Summary: D: 41%, R: 45%, I: 6%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details

[henster]

I don't believe there are 20% undecided in Colorado this close to the election.