KS-Rassy: Orman+12

[Tender Branson]

52% Orman
40% Roberts

Link later.

[Tender Branson]

What do you roughly get when you average the Rasmussen poll here and the Faux News poll ?

Virtually SurveyUSA's result.

[Tender Branson]

I think the main problem in KS is to know what percentage of Republicans Roberts (and Browncrook) will get ...

Kansas is a 55-30-15 R/D/I state and if Roberts gets 65% of Republicans in one poll and 80% in another that creates a difference of 8% in his overall share ...

[Tender Branson]

Looks like this result was so out of line with other polls that Rasmussen decided not to release it after all, despite announcing earlier that they would:



PPP has done the same thing a few times, when the outlier was really obvious.

[Tender Branson]

Is this poll still on the Rasmussen private website?  It's not on the public website and someone from RRH said it has been removed without comment.

It's still there:

http://www.redracinghorses.com/showComment.do?commentId=279970

But Rasmussen decided not to release it for some reason.

[Tender Branson]

Should this poll be entered to the database ?

I mean it was released by Rasmussen to premium subscribers and then taken back for some reason (maybe because they didn't like the numbers ?)

But we still have the results, the time when it was conducted and the sample.

[Tender Branson]

Should this poll be entered to the database ?

I mean it was released by Rasmussen to premium subscribers and then taken back for some reason (maybe because they didn't like the numbers ?)

But we still have the results, the time when it was conducted and the sample.

I understand the desperation to continue this false narrative that Orman has a double digit lead but if a poll is only released to a select group then retracted, it shouldn't be entered.

The question is not if Orman is ahead by double-digits (I don't think he is, more like ahead by 3-6 points).

The thing is that Rasmussen released it to premium subscribers and then retracting it without even writing a notice about why they did.

If they didn't release the numbers at all, then I wouldn't question it (PPP did the same thing a few times).

But we have the numbers that they released and it should be put into the database (besides, the map would not change with this poll, because it would go from "tie" to "Orman+2").

I'm creating a poll and then ask Dave if a majority votes in favour.

[Tender Branson]

New Rasmussen KS poll out later today.

(Will Rassy pull a Gravis and show Roberts ahead, because they didn't like the original results ?)

[Tender Branson]

New Rasmussen KS poll out later today.

(Will Rassy pull a Gravis and show Roberts ahead, because they didn't like the original results ?)

Weird.

I got the daily Rasmussen email and it says that they release the new KS poll at 1pm Eastern.

It's already 1:30 pm and it's still not out.

Are the results not "right" again ?

[Tender Branson]

They released the Columbus Day thing already, so where's KS ... ?