VA: University of Mary Washington: Warner +10
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Author Topic: VA: University of Mary Washington: Warner +10  (Read 1692 times)
cinyc
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« on: October 09, 2014, 08:49:53 PM »
University of Mary Washington Poll
Warner 47%
Gillespie 37%
Sarvis 6%
None/Would Not Vote 3%

October 1-6; 444 LV; MoE +/- 5.3 points.

Among RVs, it's 50-30-6-5.  Among Adults, it's 49-26-6-7.

The poll was taken for the university by Princeton Survey Research Associates International.  The sample was 50% landline, 50% cell phone.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: October 10, 2014, 02:24:01 AM »
They have RVs as Warner +20. It looks the LV screen is too tight (the sample also went for Cuccinelli, even though he lost in an off-off-year).
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #2 on: October 10, 2014, 04:56:13 AM »
IT'S HAPPENING
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Mogrovejo
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« Reply #3 on: October 10, 2014, 12:14:28 PM »
Wow, one month go to and 55% of LVs haven't heard enough of Gillespie to have an opinion on him. What a horrible campaigner. One of the weakest candidates in the cycle.
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Devils30
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« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2014, 10:46:27 PM »
Warner in the end might win by a similar margin to what Casey did in Pennsylvania in 2012. Not a blowout but a safe 8-11 points.
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bore
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« Reply #5 on: October 12, 2014, 05:34:15 AM »
R+1
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IceSpear
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« Reply #6 on: October 12, 2014, 01:22:26 PM »
Quote from: Devils30 on October 11, 2014, 10:46:27 PM
Warner in the end might win by a similar margin to what Casey did in Pennsylvania in 2012. Not a blowout but a safe 8-11 points.

That would be a shame since Warner actually seems to be running a campaign, unlike Casey.
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Vega
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« Reply #7 on: October 12, 2014, 01:28:09 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 12, 2014, 01:22:26 PM
Warner actually seems to be running a campaign, unlike Casey.

Explain.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2014, 02:06:08 PM »
Quote from: Vega on October 12, 2014, 01:28:09 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 12, 2014, 01:22:26 PM
Warner actually seems to be running a campaign, unlike Casey.

Explain.

Casey's Fred Thompson/Martha Coakley-esque campaign in 2012 was fairly well known.

http://thetimes-tribune.com/news/casey-finds-himself-in-tight-race-pa-in-play-for-president-1.1389197

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Vega
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« Reply #9 on: October 12, 2014, 02:12:29 PM »
Interesting. I remember seeing alot of Casey ads towards the end of September/early October.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: October 12, 2014, 02:16:28 PM »
WARNER IS IN DEEP TROUBLE.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #11 on: October 12, 2014, 05:19:30 PM »
Quote from: Vega on October 12, 2014, 02:12:29 PM
Interesting. I remember seeing alot of Casey ads towards the end of September/early October.

Yeah because Smith was catching up and Casey was catching hell for not running a campaign.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #12 on: October 12, 2014, 06:08:07 PM »
Let's not also forget that Warner, unlike Casey, has a full head of hair.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #13 on: October 12, 2014, 06:30:48 PM »
Quote from: Landslide Lyndon on October 12, 2014, 06:08:07 PM
Let's not also forget that Warner, unlike Casey, has a full head of hair.

Oh, Christ, remember that idiocy? Classic.
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Devils30
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« Reply #14 on: October 12, 2014, 11:23:47 PM »
It should be similar to the VA lieutenant gov race last fall
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
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« Reply #15 on: October 17, 2014, 12:13:01 AM »
Casey even had an opponent who compared being raped to having a kid out of wedlock, but Casey being anti-abortion was not able to benefit.
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #16 on: October 18, 2014, 10:48:19 PM »
It's a crying shame the Republicans couldn't be more competitive in this race.
#Toolittletoolate
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
phwezer
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2014, 02:53:40 PM »
#warnerunder50
#gillespiementum
#gopwave
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