NRSC eating its words, begins to shift resources

[Adam Griffin]

One month ago to the day:

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Today:

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Republicans think Michigan is gone, Kansas isn't even worth saving, and Georgia's still in play. Looks like they're also worried enough about South Dakota to match the DSCC's recent $1 million infusion, Begich's ground-game must be reflected in their internals, and poor, poor Tillis. Is this what they're thinking it looks like?

THE REPUBLICAN WAVE IS BUILDING

[Miles]

After this Tuesday, the NRSC will have pulled out of NC entirely

[Keystone Phil]

Things looking bad in North Carolina.

Things looking unexpectedly great in Colorado, Iowa and Alaska.

Hmmmm...decisions, decisions...

[Niemeyerite]

I hope Scott Brown does better in New Hampshire than what opinion polls suggest he will. Jeanne Shaheen is a talented campaigner. I think the Brown camp is smart to run their campaign like their candidate is running in the New Hampshire primary for President. And I want Roberts to survive in Kansas.

TL;DR version: I am a republican.

____

So the NRSC is giving up on NC and maybe KS and thinks GA, SD and KY are in danger? Glorious news!

[Mehmentum]

So both Republicans and Democrats are taking South Dakota seriously.  I really wish we had more polling on that race.

It seems that the Georgia race is indeed more competitive after Perdue's outsourcing comments.  They don't seem to be worried about Kentucky though, or perhaps they figure McConnell has a large enough war chest already. 

[tmthforu94]

I highly doubt the NRSC believes Kansas is a lost cause...it has certainly been trending in Robert's direction.

[Vega]

I highly doubt the NRSC believes Kansas is a lost cause...it has certainly been trending in Robert's direction.

How has it been trending in Robert's direction? Pretty much every poll has been showing Orman leading by at least 4 points.

[Maxwell]

I highly doubt the NRSC believes Kansas is a lost cause...it has certainly been trending in Robert's direction.

How has it been trending in Robert's direction? Pretty much every poll has been showing Orman leading by at least 4 points.

Orman started out leading by 10. I mean, it's still Orman in the drivers seat, but progress is progress.

[IceSpear]

I highly doubt the NRSC believes Kansas is a lost cause...it has certainly been trending in Robert's direction.

How has it been trending in Robert's direction? Pretty much every poll has been showing Orman leading by at least 4 points.

Orman started out leading by 10. I mean, it's still Orman in the drivers seat, but progress is progress.

Eh...that's arguable. PPP showed Orman up 10, but Marist was the only one to ever corroborate this. Everyone else always showed him up 5-6, and the median poll is still Orman up 5.

They've already given up on MI, and seem to be giving up on NC considering even Tillis' internals have Hagan leading. As for Kansas, it's up in the air whether or not they're abandoning Roberts or are just confident he can pull it out (more polls will tell the story here).

[Lief 🗽]

Looks like Republicans are in retreat across the country and the Democrats are going on the offensive! Wonderful news!

[Indy Texas]

We're at the point where everyone has to start picking their battles because there's basically no time left to move any other chess pieces.

The DCCC has basically accepted that the Republicans will come out of this election with more House seats than they came in with. 

As for the Republicans, you have to wonder how much sense it makes to spend this much money to control the Senate for a whole two years. They're going to get rid of Mary Landrieu so that come January 3, 2017, the Senate energy committee can be chaired by Maria Cantwell?!

[Skill and Chance]

We're at the point where everyone has to start picking their battles because there's basically no time left to move any other chess pieces.

The DCCC has basically accepted that the Republicans will come out of this election with more House seats than they came in with. 

As for the Republicans, you have to wonder how much sense it makes to spend this much money to control the Senate for a whole two years. They're going to get rid of Mary Landrieu so that come January 3, 2017, the Senate energy committee can be chaired by Maria Cantwell?!

Well, if you're of the opinion that a Dem senate is a sure thing in 2017 (which is too strong IMO) and you are a Republican, you do everything you can to prevent them from getting to 60.  Landrieu was a consistent vote for Obama priorities when they last had 60, so you are better off as Republican with Cantwell chairing energy and 59 Dems total than with 60 Dems and Landrieu chairing energy.

[Lief 🗽]

We're at the point where everyone has to start picking their battles because there's basically no time left to move any other chess pieces.

The DCCC has basically accepted that the Republicans will come out of this election with more House seats than they came in with. 

As for the Republicans, you have to wonder how much sense it makes to spend this much money to control the Senate for a whole two years. They're going to get rid of Mary Landrieu so that come January 3, 2017, the Senate energy committee can be chaired by Maria Cantwell?!

Well, if you're of the opinion that a Dem senate is a sure thing in 2017 (which is too strong IMO) and you are a Republican, you do everything you can to prevent them from getting to 60.  Landrieu was a consistent vote for Obama priorities when they last had 60, so you are better off as Republican with Cantwell chairing energy and 59 Dems total than with 60 Dems and Landrieu chairing energy.

Hopefully if (big if) the Democrats take back the Senate and the House in 2016 with Clinton as a president, they'll get rid of the filibuster forever as their first act.

[SPC]

Haha

[Mechaman]

One month ago to the day:

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Today:

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Republicans think Michigan is gone, Kansas isn't even worth saving, and Georgia's still in play. Looks like they're also worried enough about South Dakota to match the DSCC's recent $1 million infusion, Begich's ground-game must be reflected in their internals, and poor, poor Tillis. Is this what they're thinking it looks like?

THE REPUBLICAN WAVE IS BUILDING

Looks like the words the GOP ate were prime rib flavored, Griff.

[RFayette]

Haha

[Miles]

After this Tuesday, the NRSC will have pulled out of NC entirely

God dammit.

Rove stared spending more in NC, and that prompted the NRSC to give Tillis more $$$ too.

Ugh.