High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 28, 2024, 02:47:23 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
  2014 Senatorial Election Polls
  High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH
« previous next »
Pages: 1 2 [3]
Author Topic: High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH  (Read 4059 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,918
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #50 on: October 13, 2014, 12:53:28 PM »

Okay, really, the "Dems outperform polls" thing is starting to piss me off. Buck. That's all that was. You're using a Tea Party loon as your saving grace. I love the smell of desperation.
Logged
Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 26,201
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #51 on: October 13, 2014, 12:59:03 PM »

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.
Logged
Smash255
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,445


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #52 on: October 13, 2014, 01:07:49 PM »

Okay, really, the "Dems outperform polls" thing is starting to piss me off. Buck. That's all that was. You're using a Tea Party loon as your saving grace. I love the smell of desperation.

Not saying the Dems outperform polls thing isn't a bit overused. but there is a bit of truth to that beyond Buck

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/co/colorado_romney_vs_obama-2023.html

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/co/colorado_mccain_vs_obama-546.html

Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,173
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #53 on: October 13, 2014, 01:14:18 PM »

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.

Wink
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #54 on: October 13, 2014, 01:33:45 PM »

If we're going to be honest, within the margin of error basically means anything goes. And so the Buck case was pretty easy to see that a Bennett win was probably. That's less the case when Gardner is leading by as much as 4 in the latest SUSA poll, and the momentum continues to be on his side.
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #55 on: October 13, 2014, 01:51:54 PM »

Nate Cohn is already bashing the sample
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,401
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #56 on: October 13, 2014, 02:06:12 PM »

I don't think Buck had any momentum - he was a flawed candidate and Bennett was better organized. Gardner has the momentum and the polling edge - if the election were today I think he would win.

The Republican wave continues to build!
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 87,781
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #57 on: October 13, 2014, 02:16:13 PM »

Results are within margins, no GOP wave yet.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,628
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #58 on: October 13, 2014, 03:01:22 PM »

New Poll: New Hampshire Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-09

Summary: D: 48%, R: 46%, I: 0%, U: 6%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,489
Australia


Political Matrix
E: -2.71, S: -5.22

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #59 on: October 13, 2014, 03:18:57 PM »

Ahhhh 2012 wasn't that long ago... but it seems much has not been learned.

'unskewed' polls was based in a GOP fantasy and a misunderstanding of party ID... that's it. But these cross-samples look genuinely screwy. But considering how quickly the blue mist descended ... they clearly need this, so I'll leave them to it.
Logged
backtored
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 498
Vatican City State


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #60 on: October 13, 2014, 03:42:51 PM »

Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,841
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #61 on: October 13, 2014, 03:44:04 PM »

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.

Wink

It's pretty funny how many Democrats here have two modes: the "everything is all right, we've got this!" mode and the "OMG IT'S OVER WE'RE DOOOMMMEDDDDDD!!!!!!" mode.

Yes, these polls are good news for the GOP. Democrats have gotten plenty of good news in the past few days. It's not like 2010 where every day was basically being pummelled with pro-GOP results in nearly every race.

Talleyrand has the Republicans gaining a NET of 4 governorships. I'm sure he'll be vindicated...lol
Logged
Devils30
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,967
United States


Political Matrix
E: -2.06, S: -4.00

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #62 on: October 13, 2014, 03:56:22 PM »

Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.

What are the demographics of this one?
Logged
New_Conservative
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,139
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #63 on: October 13, 2014, 04:54:05 PM »

Great polls! All aboard train Tillis!

The Libertarian in that race guarantees a victory for Hagan if the polls are right.
Logged
Panda Express
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,578


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #64 on: October 13, 2014, 07:30:37 PM »

well i can see why they are called high point cuz they must have been STONED when they made this poll  LOL
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #65 on: October 13, 2014, 10:36:14 PM »

The racial subsamples in the Colorado poll are downright laughable.
Logged
ElectionAtlas
Atlas Proginator
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 3,628
United States


P P P
WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #66 on: October 14, 2014, 05:01:27 AM »

New Poll: Colorado Senator by Survey USA on 2014-10-08

Summary: D: 42%, R: 46%, I: 7%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.039 seconds with 14 queries.