High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH

[Tender Branson]

NC (done by HPU)

Thom Tillis – 40 percent
Kay Hagan – 40 percent
Sean Haugh – 7 percent
Don’t know/refuse – 13 percent

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/32memoB.pdf

CO (done by SurveyUSA)

Cory Gardner – 46 percent
Mark Udall – 42 percent
Other – 7 percent
Undecided – 5 percent

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/PDF-Colorado-Political.pdf

NH (done by SurveyUSA)

Jeanne Shaheen – 48 percent
Scott Brown – 46 percent
Undecided – 6 percent

http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2014/10/PDF-New-Hampshire-Political.pdf

http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2014/10/hpu-poll-hagan-and-tillis-tied-among-nc-likely-voters

[Tender Branson]

Quick background check:

HPU is relatively new in the polling business. They started in 2010, but didn't release GE polls back then.

In 2012, their final US poll had Obama+3 (Obama won by 4) and Romney+1 in NC (Romney won by 2).

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http://www.highpoint.edu/src/files/2013/10/19release.pdf

[Tender Branson]

My guess:

NC: Hagan+2
CO: Gardner+1
NH: Shaheen+3

[Tender Branson]

Updated the original post with the actual numbers.

Definitely not good numbers for the Dems, especially because SUSA did CO and NH.

[Tender Branson]

New Hampshire makes sense, the state has always been hyper-receptive to the national mood.  In any event, we're likely screwed at this point.  Props to Talleyrand for calling it before most left-leaning posters here, btw.

Don't know about that yet, but at least the field is expanding (now incl. SD !!!) and we'll get an exciting election night.