High Point University/SurveyUSA: Tie in NC, Gardner+4 in CO, Shaheen+2 in NH

[Devils30]

The Colorado sample is too white, was 81% white in 2010 and will not be 84% this year.

[Devils30]

22% in 2010 were 65 and older, the 34% 65 and up figure here is absurd.

[Devils30]

Given CO demographics, a figure of around 79% white is probably realistic here. I don't see why that should even be disputed.

[Devils30]

If Udall loses the white vote by single digits he is winning this thing without a doubt. CO whites went 54-44 for Romney and Obama won it by over 5.5. The fact that the 18-39 group is Gardner's best raises questions about the sample too. Missing younger voters who use cell phones only is probably a big reason some Dems have outperformed polls recently.

[Devils30]

Given CO demographics, a figure of around 79% white is probably realistic here. I don't see why that should even be disputed.

Ah, if you are referring to polls like this Quinnipiac poll that are 80% white, well, have at it.

Dems have a history of outperforming polls in this state. Wouldn't shock me one bit if Gardner leads everything by a few points like Buck did and then loses on election night. But you can take it to the bank that the electorate will not be 84% white.

[Devils30]

Maybe the final results will be accurate but even CNN, Survey USA and NBC Marist were off by a few points in Colorado in 2012. Weighting by party ID is problematic like Ramussen does it. However, it's weird how all these pre-election polls have Rs in the plurality but Ds had a +5 edge in both 2010 and 2012. These polls might be missing Hispanic and young voters. Curious if any of these pollsters have adjusted their methodology after missing in this state.

[Devils30]

The panic is starting to settle in...

You have a history that has proven yourself to be a true moron. I'm sure you're getting ready for Corbett's second term!

[Devils30]

A lot of these polls have shown Hispanics going Democratic like 55-40 and then on election day the figure is closer to 70-30.

[Devils30]

NC just has too many undecideds, they should have pushed leaners more. NH is a close race but its like Ohio in 2012 where one side leads every poll. Not a huge fan of YouGov because they survey the same people again but their 2012 and latest results make more sense with the age breakdown.

[Devils30]

Nate Cohn is already bashing the sample

[Devils30]

Gardner by two in the Denver Post SUSA poll today.

What are the demographics of this one?