Washington Post puts odds of Hillary running at 99.99%

[eric82oslo]

That's pretty bold, isn't it?

See the evidence here: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/10/13/were-99-days-from-hillary-clintons-presidential-announcement-if-history-is-any-guide/

"So we're putting the over/under at 99 days. And the odds of a decision to run at 99.99 percent."

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Up until about 6-8 weeks ago, I was thinking 55-45 she wouldn't run. But looking at her campaigning schedule and the belly-fire she's got... I'm now 80-20 she's in.

[New_Conservative]

Wow, that was fast. Can't believe we're only 3 months away from the next Presidential race starting. It seems like just yesterday I was a freshman in high school when the 2012 race was occurring.

[IceSpear]

Can't wait!

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Wow, that was fast. Can't believe we're only 3 months away from the next Presidential race starting. It seems like just yesterday I was a freshman in high school when the 2012 race was occurring.

[Pandaguineapig]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

[NewYorkExpress]

Probably a little lower than that... I'd say closer to 95-5 in favor of her running.

[NewYorkExpress]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

Hillary's probably the only Democrat who could win the nomination from the grave (Her and maybe Elizabeth Warren)

[Mr. Morden]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

If a candidate announces in January or February of 2015, and then drops dead the next day, they still will have run for the 2016 presidential nomination of their party.  It's just that their campaign will have been cut short by unfortunate circumstances.

Then again, the mortality rate per year for 67 year old women in the US is ~1%, so even if we're only talking about a 3 month horizon, 99.99% is too high.

[Pandaguineapig]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

Hillary's probably the only Democrat who could win the nomination from the grave (Her and maybe Elizabeth Warren)

If dead people could run for president Reagan would win the Republican Primary every year

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

She's probably got greater than a 0.01% of dying before then.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

Hillary's probably the only Democrat who could win the nomination from the grave (Her and maybe Elizabeth Warren)

If dead people could run for president Reagan would win the Republican Primary every year

Supported the New Deal? Raised taxes 11 times? Cut and ran from Lebanon? RINO.

[eric82oslo]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

Hillary's probably the only Democrat who could win the nomination from the grave (Her and maybe Elizabeth Warren)

If dead people could run for president Reagan would win the Republican Primary every year

Supported the New Deal? Raised taxes 11 times? Cut and ran from Lebanon? RINO.

Not to mention immigration reform, which he was the founding father of.

[Pandaguineapig]

to be fair there's a higher than .01% chance any potential candidate could be dead by 2016

Hillary's probably the only Democrat who could win the nomination from the grave (Her and maybe Elizabeth Warren)

If dead people could run for president Reagan would win the Republican Primary every year

Supported the New Deal? Raised taxes 11 times? Cut and ran from Lebanon? RINO.

People tend to make an idealized version of a politician in their head that goes far beyond their record and actual accomplishments, See; Bill Clinton

[Free Bird]

Ehhhh if say a 48-52 chance

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

55% chance of her running, no higher.

[BlueSwan]

I was one of those who back in 2012-13 didn't believe that she would run again. Now, I'm firmly in the camp believing that she will. I'd give it a 90% chance at least. 99,99% is obviously overdoing it, though.

[NHI]

90% she'll run.
10% she will not.

[whanztastic]

She's already running.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

It's been obvious she's going to run since at least fall 2012.  If you haven't figured this out by now you're either a conservative/libertarian hack in denial or just not very good at this sort of thing.  

No one was even talking about it back then. In fact, in the months immediately following the end of her time as Sec. of State, Hillary's answer to whether she would run for president again was a firm No. Then the polling, organizations like Ready for Hillary, and consistent begging from democrats made her reconsider.

[Eraserhead]

Odds of her running were at 99.99% since she lost the primary in 2008.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Odds of her running we're at 99.99% since she lost the primary in 2008.

I've always disagreed with this... there was no indication how she was going to perform either remaining in the Senate or as Secretary of State. Whether she ran was dependent on her performance during the Obama presidency. I think at best you could say she was inclined toward a run.

[retromike22]

Wow, that was fast. Can't believe we're only 3 months away from the next Presidential race starting. It seems like just yesterday I was a freshman in high school when the 2012 race was occurring.

When I was a freshman in high school.... it was the 20th century

In those days the internets was mighty slow...

[m4567]

By fall 2013, it started lookeinglike a good chance she would run.