House elections: Shot in the Dark?
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  House elections: Shot in the Dark?		 « previous next »
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Author Topic: House elections: Shot in the Dark?  (Read 309 times)
GaussLaw
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« on: October 14, 2014, 03:38:19 PM »
There seems to be a pretty big paucity of House polling data given the predominance of the Senate races this cycle.  There's a poll for a race here and there, but now most of the data for specific states is pretty dated. 

My hunch is that the forecasters (Sabato, Cook, etc.) are going to get a fair number of misses this time for the House elections.  Especially since Sabato eventually removes tossups, this effect will be exaggerated. 

Thoughts?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #1 on: October 14, 2014, 03:55:36 PM »
Yeah, Sabato's never had a perfect year in terms of house races. No one ever will.
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GaussLaw
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« Reply #2 on: October 14, 2014, 06:36:26 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 14, 2014, 03:55:36 PM
Yeah, Sabato's never had a perfect year in terms of house races. No one ever will.

Indeed.  I'd just like more polling data.
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Bacon King
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« Reply #3 on: October 14, 2014, 07:07:39 PM »
Tbh house polls are notoriously unreliable fwiw
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