IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 (user search)
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  IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2 (search mode)
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Author Topic: IA: Quinnipiac University: Ernst+2  (Read 3210 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« on: October 15, 2014, 06:20:29 AM »
New Poll: Iowa Senator by Quinnipiac University on 2014-10-13

Summary: D: 45%, R: 47%, I: 3%, U: 5%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2014, 06:32:38 AM »
Something is wrong with the Braley numbers, they are 2% too low.

Quinnipiac shows that the (weighted) sample is 30% D, 29% R and 41% I.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/ia/ia10152014_demos_Ihst243bn.pdf

Ernst wins Republicans 95-2.

Braley wins Democrats 89-7.

Braley wins Indies 48-43.

...

Which means both Ernst and Braley have 47% overall if my math skills are not all too bad.

Could be a rounding issue though.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 58,156
Austria


Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
« Reply #2 on: October 15, 2014, 12:26:51 PM »
Looks like Suffolk/USAToday will release a new IA poll as well in 30 minutes.
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