As of right now (10/15) on FiveThirtyEight....

[JRP1994]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/#elections

Gardner has a higher chance of winning (67%) than Perdue does (64%).

[GaussLaw]

Maybe on election night, but Perdue has a better chance of becoming a Senator due to the runoff.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Gardener might have a better chance of getting a higher proportion of the vote, but Perdue will have a better chance at actually gaining the seat.

[KCDem]

Maybe on election night, but Perdue has a better chance of becoming a Senator due to the runoff.

There will be no runoff.

[Keystone Phil]

Maybe on election night, but Perdue has a better chance of becoming a Senator due to the runoff.

There will be no runoff.

Yeah, Perdue should crack 50%.

[KCDem]

Maybe on election night, but Perdue has a better chance of becoming a Senator due to the runoff.

There will be no runoff.

Yeah, Perdue should crack 50%.

Says the Republican from Pennsylvania...

[Keystone Phil]

Maybe on election night, but Perdue has a better chance of becoming a Senator due to the runoff.

There will be no runoff.

Yeah, Perdue should crack 50%.

Says the Republican from Pennsylvania...

Ok, you're officially Politico.

[Vosem]

http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/#elections

Gardner has a higher chance of winning (67%) than Perdue does (64%).

Last five Colorado polls are G+4, G+2, G+4, G+6, and U+3.
Last five Georgia polls are N+3, 0, P+3, P+4 and P+4.

It does sound Gardner is doing a little bit better than Perdue at the moment.

[Antonio the Sixth]

That makes sense based on polling. Despite the corrections that it attempts to make, Silver's model can't be much better than the polls it's based on.