Predict Obama's job approval in the national exit poll:
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  Predict Obama's job approval in the national exit poll:
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Poll
Question: Predict Obama's job approval in the national exit poll:
#1
Over 55%
 
#2
54%
 
#3
53%
 
#4
52%
 
#5
51%
 
#6
50%
 
#7
49%
 
#8
48%
 
#9
47%
 
#10
46%
 
#11
45%
 
#12
44%
 
#13
43%
 
#14
42%
 
#15
41%
 
#16
40%
 
#17
39%
 
#18
38%
 
#19
37%
 
#20
36%
 
#21
Under 35%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: Predict Obama's job approval in the national exit poll:  (Read 1154 times)
Eraserhead
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« on: October 17, 2014, 01:34:27 AM »
« edited: October 17, 2014, 01:51:16 AM by Eraserhead »

According to CNN it was...

44% in 2010.

54% in 2012 (even though he only earned a little over 51% of the actual vote in the presidential election).

EDIT: Whoops. The first and last options should read "55% or over" and "35% or under" respectively.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1 on: October 17, 2014, 01:38:14 AM »

I'm thinking it'll be slightly higher than it was in 2010. Went with 46%
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ProgressiveCanadian
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« Reply #2 on: October 17, 2014, 01:51:25 AM »

43%
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #3 on: October 17, 2014, 08:04:29 AM »

44-55, the same as in 2010.
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JRP1994
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« Reply #4 on: October 17, 2014, 09:20:34 AM »

42%
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JRP1994
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« Reply #5 on: October 17, 2014, 09:21:13 AM »

The difference between 2010 and 2014 is not that Obama is more popular now than he was then - it's that the GOP is less able to capitalize on it now as they were then.
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ShamDam
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« Reply #6 on: October 17, 2014, 09:39:28 AM »

Combination of lower approval ratings and the republican-friendly territory these states are in leads me to believe 42%.
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Del Tachi
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« Reply #7 on: October 17, 2014, 01:12:57 PM »

42%
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #8 on: October 17, 2014, 01:19:44 PM »

41%
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 17, 2014, 01:27:01 PM »

42%.
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Never
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« Reply #10 on: October 17, 2014, 04:20:12 PM »

42%.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #11 on: October 17, 2014, 04:21:04 PM »

41-45%. Voted 43%
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #12 on: October 17, 2014, 04:23:33 PM »

40%, was tempted to vote for one of the high 30s but the Conservative turnout is always lower than expected and it wouldn't surprise me if it were again due to Republicans' terrible voter outreach efforts.
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Flake
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« Reply #13 on: October 17, 2014, 04:25:56 PM »

44%
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2014, 11:20:21 PM »

Looks like I'm a bull on this question.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2014, 11:50:54 PM »

43-45%... average of 44%, so that's what I picked.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2014, 12:42:24 AM »
« Edited: October 20, 2014, 12:49:11 AM by Eraserhead »

Bush was at 43%-57% in 2006 for further reference (according to CNN).
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2014, 02:43:43 PM »

Bush was at 43%-57% in 2006 for further reference (according to CNN).

Interesting, probably around 43% again then. Figured it was lower.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #18 on: October 22, 2014, 11:23:49 PM »

Bush was at 43%-57% in 2006 for further reference (according to CNN).

Interesting, probably around 43% again then. Figured it was lower.

Yeah, thought it was a bit lower myself.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #19 on: November 14, 2014, 07:34:54 PM »


Nice work, Tender.

http://www.cnn.com/election/2014/results/race/house#exit-polls
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Umengus
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« Reply #20 on: November 14, 2014, 08:55:13 PM »


for now, exit poll is a little biased...

actual result : R 52,3 D 44,8 gap: 7,5

cnn exit poll: R 27,93 + 23,97= 51,9 D 20,09 + 26,01= 46,1 gap: 5,8

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