KY-Rasmussen: McConnell+8
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Author Topic: KY-Rasmussen: McConnell+8  (Read 3422 times)
KCDem
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« Reply #25 on: October 17, 2014, 10:40:01 PM »
Nice try Rassy.
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Never
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« Reply #26 on: October 17, 2014, 11:10:55 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 17, 2014, 12:33:30 PM
There was also the Rollings poll that had Grimes up by 4. I never saw a word about it here.

There's a very good reason that so-called poll was ignored. Per the DailyKos, it was a fabrication.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #27 on: October 18, 2014, 01:10:40 AM »
Quote from: R2D2 on October 17, 2014, 02:19:02 PM
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on October 17, 2014, 02:17:02 PM
Quote from: R2D2 on October 17, 2014, 02:14:21 PM
Even if it is Rassy, this can't be too far from what it'll be like on election day. Grimes crashed her own campaign and deserves to lose for it. Unbelievable how she blew a chance at a seat that never should have been competitive in the first place.

Wait, are you saying the Democrat should've won in a landslide in Kentucky?

No no, quite the opposite. I'm saying Kentucky is usually very safe for the Republicans, even if it is Mitch McConnell running. The fact that she had a chance to win the seat was pretty surprising.
Not really, considering McConnell's history. 2002 aside, McConnell never wins by landslide margins and is used to having competitive races - in fact his experience winning previous tough races probably helped him win this one. McConnell's win margins for all his senate races are:

1984: 0.4%
1990: 4.4%
1996: 12.6%
2002: 29.4%
2008: 6.0%
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #28 on: October 18, 2014, 01:18:20 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 18, 2014, 01:10:40 AM
Not really, considering McConnell's history. 2002 aside, McConnell never wins by landslide margins and is used to having competitive races - in fact his experience winning previous tough races probably helped him win this one. McConnell's win margins for all his senate races are:

1984: 0.4%
1990: 4.4%
1996: 12.6%
2002: 29.4%
2008: 6.0%

Why was he so strong in '02?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #29 on: October 18, 2014, 01:23:20 AM »
Quote from: Joshua on October 18, 2014, 01:18:20 AM
Quote from: Wulfric on October 18, 2014, 01:10:40 AM
Not really, considering McConnell's history. 2002 aside, McConnell never wins by landslide margins and is used to having competitive races - in fact his experience winning previous tough races probably helped him win this one. McConnell's win margins for all his senate races are:

1984: 0.4%
1990: 4.4%
1996: 12.6%
2002: 29.4%
2008: 6.0%

Why was he so strong in '02?
No clue, actually. Perhaps Bush's high approval ratings at the time rubbed off on him or something.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #30 on: October 18, 2014, 06:34:51 AM »
RIP less terrible candidate.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #31 on: October 18, 2014, 07:00:59 AM »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 18, 2014, 01:10:40 AM
Not really, considering McConnell's history. 2002 aside, McConnell never wins by landslide margins and is used to having competitive races - in fact his experience winning previous tough races probably helped him win this one. McConnell's win margins for all his senate races are:

1984: 0.4%
1990: 4.4%
1996: 12.6%
2002: 29.4%
2008: 6.0%




For comparison, here is Harry Reid's winning margins

1986: 4.5%
1992: 10.8%
1998: 0.1%
2004: 25.9%
2010: 5.7%

They truly are 2 sides of the same coin
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #32 on: October 18, 2014, 09:37:38 AM »
Quote from: Joshua on October 18, 2014, 01:18:20 AM
Quote from: Wulfric on October 18, 2014, 01:10:40 AM
Not really, considering McConnell's history. 2002 aside, McConnell never wins by landslide margins and is used to having competitive races - in fact his experience winning previous tough races probably helped him win this one. McConnell's win margins for all his senate races are:

1984: 0.4%
1990: 4.4%
1996: 12.6%
2002: 29.4%
2008: 6.0%

Why was he so strong in '02?

Because the Democrats in 2002 didn't even bother to recruit a top-tier candidate.

The Democrats ran Lois Combs Weinberg, who was a complete unknown, but I voted for her.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #33 on: October 18, 2014, 10:58:16 AM »
2002 was also the one unequivocally good Republican year he ran in since Kentucky shifted so heavily to the Rs. At least in 1996, Clinton could keep it competitive. Bruce Lunsford wasn't a better candidate than Lois Combs Weinberg.
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #34 on: October 18, 2014, 10:45:26 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2014, 12:24:52 AM by Branden Cordeiro »
Meh, not a fan of McConnell but he's better than Grimes and any Tea Party candidate that probably went against him in the primary.

So eh good news I guess
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Bandit3 the Worker
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« Reply #35 on: October 18, 2014, 10:51:26 PM »
Also, the Democrats openly refused to recruit strong candidates in 2002 because 9/11 scared them. I am not making this up. I remember Rush Limbaugh gloating about it.
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KCDem
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« Reply #36 on: October 18, 2014, 11:19:17 PM »
This poll is a joke.
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RR1997
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« Reply #37 on: October 19, 2014, 06:59:20 PM »
McConell will win this, but not by 8 points.
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #38 on: October 20, 2014, 12:45:50 AM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on October 18, 2014, 10:51:26 PM
Also, the Democrats openly refused to recruit strong candidates in 2002 because 9/11 scared them. I am not making this up. I remember Rush Limbaugh gloating about it.
They don't seem to have abided by that in at least 3 races: In AR (this was when Pryor was first elected to the senate), NH (Where then-gov. Shaheen was the candidate and nearly won), and TN (where Alexander was held to just 54% of the vote in a very republican state).
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #39 on: October 20, 2014, 12:53:35 AM »
Quote from: RR1997 on October 19, 2014, 06:59:20 PM
McConell will win this, but not by 8 points.

Indeed. It'll probably be a 2-6% margin.
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memphis
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« Reply #40 on: October 20, 2014, 11:50:39 AM »
Whether it's by 2 or 8, McConnell looks pretty set. And that sucks. 2 more years of Mr Turtle as Senate Minority Leader.
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