"Hey, I wonder what the polls looked like at this point in 2010?"
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  "Hey, I wonder what the polls looked like at this point in 2010?"
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Author Topic: "Hey, I wonder what the polls looked like at this point in 2010?"  (Read 976 times)
Thomas D
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« on: October 18, 2014, 06:43:21 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/POLLS/SENATE/2010/polls.php

Feel free to compare and contrast.
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Vega
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« Reply #1 on: October 18, 2014, 06:57:32 PM »

It's crazy to think that California was only Lean Dem.

There's no doubt that Democrats are better off than they were 4 years ago.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 18, 2014, 06:58:41 PM »

It's crazy to think that California was only Lean Dem.

There's no doubt that Democrats are better off than they were 4 years ago.

And Wisconsin was Lean R, whereas Walker is currently in a dog fight. And PA was also Lean R, when Corbett is about to be thumped.
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #3 on: October 18, 2014, 07:30:56 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2014, 07:32:40 PM by Pessimistic Antineutrino »

It's crazy to think that California was only Lean Dem.

There's no doubt that Democrats are better off than they were 4 years ago.

And Wisconsin was Lean R, whereas Walker is currently in a dog fight. And PA was also Lean R, when Corbett is about to be thumped.

And yet West Virginia was Tilt D in the midst of of a huge Republican wave, where now it is Likely/Safe R in a relatively neutral year. Obviously candidate quality has to be considered but that is a huge shift..
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #4 on: October 18, 2014, 08:31:54 PM »
« Edited: October 18, 2014, 08:38:24 PM by New Canadaland »

Interesting that PPP produced GOP-leaning polls in most competitive races. Like R+2 in WA, D+4 in CA, or R+9 in WI. Not big misses, but they definitely weren't nudging the scale towards a rosier picture. Looking at those polls must have given democrats heart attacks. The ones who were actually paying to the election, at least.
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jfern
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« Reply #5 on: October 18, 2014, 09:05:48 PM »

Interesting that PPP produced GOP-leaning polls in most competitive races. Like R+2 in WA, D+4 in CA, or R+9 in WI. Not big misses, but they definitely weren't nudging the scale towards a rosier picture. Looking at those polls must have given democrats heart attacks. The ones who were actually paying to the election, at least.

How many of those polls were done for DailyKos and the like, so were ironically Democratic internals?
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Bacon King
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« Reply #6 on: October 18, 2014, 09:28:34 PM »

A lot of great Democratic candidates lost in 2010

RIP losers of yesteryear
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #7 on: October 18, 2014, 09:30:56 PM »

A lot of great Democratic candidates lost in 2010

RIP losers of yesteryear

RIP ALEX "THE G-MAN" GIANNIUOULUIS

You were slightly too corrupt for Illinois.
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Free Bird
TheHawk
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« Reply #8 on: October 18, 2014, 10:38:51 PM »

You're really resorting to this for a placebo effect? You guys still had a net loss of 6 anyway, so it kinda falls flat on its face.
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DrScholl
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« Reply #9 on: October 18, 2014, 10:46:35 PM »

I'm not sure how all the polls missed Boxer winning by 10%, that was a very big miss. I also recall how Rasmussen showed Christine O'Donnell leading at one point, even though that was completely absurd.
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Joe Republic
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« Reply #10 on: October 18, 2014, 10:53:13 PM »

I also recall how Rasmussen showed Christine O'Donnell leading at one point, even though that was completely absurd.

Link?  The last Rassy poll (in the Atlas database) that showed a GOP lead in DE, on 9/2/10, was still Coons vs. Castle.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #11 on: October 18, 2014, 10:56:05 PM »

harry reid stole the election
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DrScholl
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« Reply #12 on: October 18, 2014, 10:57:00 PM »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/de/delaware_senate_oadonnell_vs_coons-1670.html#polls

7/14 poll. And that was before anyone even thought that she would win the primary.
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