What will the results in Kansas be?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 23, 2024, 02:11:38 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  What will the results in Kansas be?
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which will happen?
#1
Davis and Orman win
 
#2
Davis and Roberts win
 
#3
Brownback and Orman win
 
#4
Brownback and Roberts win
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 53

Author Topic: What will the results in Kansas be?  (Read 999 times)
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 21, 2014, 02:06:18 PM »

IMO, in order of likelihood:

1) Davis/Orman
2) Brownback/Roberts
3) Davis/Roberts
4) Brownback/Orman
Logged
tmthforu94
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,402
United States


Political Matrix
E: -0.26, S: -4.52

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2014, 02:36:19 PM »

I'm inclined to say Davis/Roberts, but I still think any combination is realistically possible.
Logged
Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,710
United States


Political Matrix
E: -4.52, S: -5.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2014, 02:44:06 PM »

Davis/Roberts
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2014, 04:31:19 PM »

The Keystone Phil option is and always was going to be correct.
Logged
Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
Moderators
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 34,400


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2014, 04:39:03 PM »

Any outcome except Brownback/Orman is plausible.
Logged
Maxwell
mah519
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,459
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -6.96

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2014, 09:53:00 PM »

Brownback/Roberts. Though I could see Davis/Roberts being possible now.
Logged
Miles
MilesC56
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,325
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2014, 11:25:44 PM »

I'm inclined to say Davis/Roberts, but I still think any combination is realistically possible.

I'm deferring to tmth.
Logged
bedstuy
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,526


Political Matrix
E: -1.16, S: -4.35

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2014, 11:56:06 PM »

Davis/Roberts.

I think Brownback is going to lose.  The conventional wisdom is that Brownback has been a complete failure.  People are going to vote Davis, knowing that the fundamentals of the state will keep him to enacting moderate, compromise policies.  It's sort of the parallel of Chris Christie beating Jon Corzine.

Roberts will probably win, just people want a Republican controlled Senate to mess things up for Obama.  People tend to vote in a more partisan fashion in these Federal races.  This race is a real wildcard though.  How often do we see an Independent vs. Republican Senate race?  It's a question of whether Orman's party identification allows him to capture the moderates and independents, while holding Democrats who vote against the Republican by default.  I could also his party ID hurting him by muddling his message, sapping the enthusiasm of his supporters and depriving him of Democratic electoral muscle.  Plus, some people just assume Orman is a Democrat.  It will be an interesting result, whatever happens.
Logged
Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 88,618
Jamaica
Political Matrix
E: -6.84, S: -0.17


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2014, 07:54:12 AM »

Davis by 3-5 and Orman by 2
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2014, 10:20:53 AM »

I don't think there's a universe in which Orman wins but Davis loses.
Logged
IceSpear
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,840
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -6.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2014, 12:11:06 PM »

I don't think there's a universe in which Orman wins but Davis loses.

Brownback is currently doing slightly better than Roberts on RCP. Not that I expect that to hold, but it's interesting.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.041 seconds with 15 queries.