Most Vulnerable Incumbent Senator
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Poll
Question: Which incumbent Senator is most likely to lose?
#1
Mark Begich (D-AK)		  
#2
Mark Pryor (D-AR)		  
#3
Mark Udall (D-CO)		  
#4
Pat Roberts (R-KS)		  
#5
Mitch McConnell (R-KY)		  
#6
Mary Landrieu (D-LA)		  
#7
Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH)		  
#8
Kay Hagan (D-NC)		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 63

Author Topic: Most Vulnerable Incumbent Senator  (Read 739 times)
Talleyrand
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« on: October 21, 2014, 05:34:43 PM »
Genuinely unsure at this point.

I'd say those in the worst positions are the 3 Marks and Landrieu. Pryor probably wins the prize.
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Flake
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2014, 05:35:49 PM »
It seems that Pryor will be Blanched.
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RogueBeaver
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2014, 05:36:18 PM »
Pryor's set to lose by double digits, so him.
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SWE
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2014, 05:44:37 PM »
Arkansas is Likely R at this point. Pryor.
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2014, 05:45:18 PM »
This is no longer a question. It's Pryor.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2014, 05:47:05 PM »
Pryor's dead in the water.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2014, 05:47:14 PM »
I'm going to go with Pryor; Landrieu is a close second.
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2014, 05:49:43 PM »
1.) Landrieu
2.) Pryor
3.) Begich
4.) Udall
5.) Roberts
6.) Hagan
7.) Shaheen
8.) McConnell
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2014, 07:02:44 PM »
Pryor by a good bit.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2014, 07:21:29 PM »
Pryor, since Landrieu has a slim chance of winning still.
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2014, 07:53:36 PM »
Begich, since Alaska polls have quite consistently averaged a 7-point D bias.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2014, 07:58:57 AM »
Roberts, since the Dem majority falls on him.
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2014, 09:21:39 AM »
Hagan, Shaheen, and McConnell will all probably win, so not them.

Polling in Alaska is erratic, so we don't have a great idea as to how well Begich is doing. Roberts is making up his polling deficit, Udall has a manageable polling deficit, and Landrieu has potentially two shots at winning (or losing).

By default, Pryor.
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politicus
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2014, 07:14:25 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 21, 2014, 05:45:18 PM
This is no longer a question. It's Pryor.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2014, 07:15:12 PM »
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2014, 07:19:57 PM »
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Grumpier Than Thou
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2014, 07:22:39 PM »
Pryor, unfortunately. He's going to get hosed.
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Suburbia
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2014, 10:36:50 AM »
Pyror. Senator-elect Cotton, and heck, maybe Vice President or President Cotton down the line too.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #18 on: October 23, 2014, 10:38:56 AM »
Pryor
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Pessimistic Antineutrino
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« Reply #19 on: October 23, 2014, 02:11:01 PM »
1. Pryor
2. Landrieu
3. Udall
4. Roberts
5. Begich
6. Hagan
7. McConnell
8. Shaheen
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King
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« Reply #20 on: October 23, 2014, 02:12:30 PM »
I'd say Begich more than Pryor. Pryor at least has his internals showing him winning.
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