Which party will win control of the senate in November?

[RR1997]

I decided to post this poll since Election Day 2014 is in 2 weeks.

I say that the Republicans will win control of the senate in November. My prediction is that the GOP will pickup WV, SD, MT, AR, LA, AK, CO, and IA. I believe that Orman will be the winner in the KS senate election this year.

GOP net gain 7 to 8 seats (depending on whether or not Orman causes with le GOP.)

[Flake]

Democrats: 51 seats (including three indies)
Republicans: 49 seats

[IceSpear]

51 R
46 D
3 I

[SNJ1985]

The GOP. My prediction is currently the same as the OP's.

[SWE]

R+8

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Democrats: 51 seats (including three indies)
Republicans: 49 seats

[New_Conservative]

Alaska, West Virginia, Arkansas, Kansas, South Dakota, Louisiana, and Kentucky are my predictions for Republican victories.

Republicans lose in Colorado, Iowa, Georgia and North Carolina

I don't know about New Hampshire

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

Republicans gain MT, WV, AR, LA, AK, CO
Democrats hold NC, IA
Indie picks up KS
Democrats hold/Indie picks up SD (Rounds will be sunk by EB5 IMO, but I have no clue who will end up on top between Weiland and Pressler)

50R-47D-3I
or
50R-46D-4I

So the dynamic Orman/Pressler/King trio controls the Senate.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

ARK, WVa, SD and Mnt will go

Dems win IA and CO and La and AK will give us our majority

[eric82oslo]

According to 538 there is a:

47% chance that Louisiana, Georgia, Kansas & South Dakota will decide the majority
38% chance that Republicans wil win outright on election night
15% chance that Democrats will win outright on election night

And, if Alaska is close, the chances are:

36% that we'll know the winner on election night
64% that we'll have to wait at least one or a few more days to know the majority winner


http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/senate-update-theres-a-47-percent-chance-the-2014-midterms-will-go-to-overtime/

[Cryptic]

Democrats: 50 (3 Ind)
Republicans: 50

[The Other Castro]

I'm slightly biased towards unlikely outcomes, but I'll go out on a limb and say that Democrats lose West Virginia, Montana, Louisiana (post-runoff), Arkansas, Iowa, Alaska, and Colorado, but Weiland sneaks by in South Dakota, and D/I pickups in Georgia (general) and Kansas for 50-50 D control (with 3 independents).

[SPC]

It is difficult to say that Republicans will not win control of the Senate. However, it is a tall order to assume they will take control in November. They would need to win 6 seats without Louisiana or 7 seats without Georgia, and while I suspect the GOP will pull it off in Kansas, Iowa, and Colorado, there is a decent chance that one of them will slip through the cracks. The good news from there is that a majority is still very likely even if one of them is lost, since the runoffs then become a referendum on overall Senate control.