Predict Georgia
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Poll
Question: Who will win Georgia?
#1
Nunn, without runoff		  
#2
primary + runoff: Nunn		  
#3
primary: Perdue; runoff: Nunn		  
#4
Perdue, without runoff		  
#5
primary + runoff: Perdue		  
#6
primary: Nunn; runoff: Perdue		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Predict Georgia  (Read 890 times)
solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« on: October 21, 2014, 10:36:21 PM »
?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2014, 10:42:40 PM »
I originally thought it was going to be Primary and Run-off Perdue, but now I'm thinking:

Primary: Nunn, Run-Off: Perdue
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IceSpear
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2014, 10:59:56 PM »
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on October 21, 2014, 10:42:40 PM
I originally thought it was going to be Primary and Run-off Perdue, but now I'm thinking:

Primary: Nunn, Run-Off: Perdue
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Miles
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2014, 11:01:33 PM »
Going out on a limb and saying Nunn wins outright.
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SPC
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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2014, 11:04:14 PM »
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on October 21, 2014, 10:42:40 PM
I originally thought it was going to be Primary and Run-off Perdue, but now I'm thinking:

Primary: Nunn, Run-Off: Perdue
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2014, 11:05:12 PM »
Quote from: Miles on October 21, 2014, 11:01:33 PM
Going out on a limb and saying Nunn wins outright.
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morgieb
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« Reply #6 on: October 22, 2014, 12:08:40 AM »
Quote from: SPC on October 21, 2014, 11:04:14 PM
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on October 21, 2014, 10:42:40 PM
I originally thought it was going to be Primary and Run-off Perdue, but now I'm thinking:

Primary: Nunn, Run-Off: Perdue
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Bacon King
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« Reply #7 on: October 22, 2014, 05:06:30 AM »
Nunn wins the first round

Also if Nunn leads but is under 50% I don't think it's a foregone conclusion she'd lose the runoff
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Brewer
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« Reply #8 on: October 22, 2014, 07:20:27 AM »
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #9 on: October 22, 2014, 08:30:43 AM »
We know dems will lose 4 seats, Ga, AR, SD, and KY are gonna be upset races. Nunn has the best chance should she reach 50% thresehold, Miller endorsement stands out.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: October 22, 2014, 10:13:23 AM »
It would obviously be much better for Nunn to win outright than in a runoff, but she is by no means finished if it does go to a runoff. If we assume that the Libertarian gets say 3%, than Nunn would need to beat Perdue by at least that much in order to win outright. Barring another horrible gaffe from Perdue (which actually wouldn't be too surprising), I don't really see Nunn leading by much more than 2% in the general.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #11 on: October 22, 2014, 01:16:35 PM »
Quote from: Bacon King on October 22, 2014, 05:06:30 AM
Nunn wins the first round

Also if Nunn leads but is under 50% I don't think it's a foregone conclusion she'd lose the runoff

Sure, I agree. But I also think it gets more difficult for her if she doesn't win outright. She'd have to have a very very solid turnout game.
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Flake
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« Reply #12 on: October 22, 2014, 01:19:04 PM »
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solarstorm
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« Reply #13 on: October 22, 2014, 02:42:38 PM »
The runoff, btw, will be held on January 6, 2015.

Okay, someone explain to me why the runoff is held after the 114th Congress has been sworn-in, and why the runoffs for Senate and Governor (Dec. 2, 2014) are not held on the same day.

Is the former even constitutional? If the two runoffs took place in reverse order it would at least make sense. But in that manner...
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #14 on: October 22, 2014, 03:50:59 PM »
I think it will be something crazy close, like 50.01% Nunn in the first round. And if she falls short, those 50,000 missing voter registrations become an über scandal, and potentially be enraging enough to drive Nunn to victory in the runoff.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: October 22, 2014, 03:52:18 PM »
Perdue in the primary and runoff
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Miles
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« Reply #16 on: October 22, 2014, 04:07:00 PM »
Quote from: Khristie Kreme Donuts on October 22, 2014, 03:50:59 PM
I think it will be something crazy close, like 50.01% Nunn in the first round. And if she falls short, those 50,000 missing voter registrations become an über scandal, and potentially be enraging enough to drive Nunn to victory in the runoff.

There wouldn't be a runoff she gets 50.01%.

I see your point though.
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #17 on: October 23, 2014, 01:00:02 PM »
Quote from: Khristie Kreme Donuts on October 22, 2014, 03:50:59 PM
I think it will be something crazy close, like 50.01% Nunn in the first round. And if she falls short, those 50,000 missing voter registrations become an über scandal, and potentially be enraging enough to drive Nunn to victory in the runoff.

There won't be a runoff someone gets a majority.
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #18 on: November 05, 2014, 11:48:13 PM »
No one saw it coming: Perdue - without runoff. Cry
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Maxwell
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« Reply #19 on: November 05, 2014, 11:58:37 PM »
Quote from: Aftermath Hangover on November 05, 2014, 11:48:13 PM
No one saw it coming: Perdue - without runoff. Cry

Exactly 6 people saw it coming (judging from the poll) Tongue
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solarstorm
solarstorm2012
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« Reply #20 on: November 06, 2014, 12:02:30 AM »
Quote from: IDS Emperor Maxwell on November 05, 2014, 11:58:37 PM
Quote from: Aftermath Hangover on November 05, 2014, 11:48:13 PM
No one saw it coming: Perdue - without runoff. Cry

Exactly 6 people saw it coming (judging from the poll) Tongue

2 people have given their vote afterwards...
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