Predict Georgia (user search)
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Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Who will win Georgia?
#1
Carter, without runoff
 
#2
primary + runoff: Carter
 
#3
primary: Deal; runoff: Carter
 
#4
Deal, without runoff
 
#5
primary + runoff: Deal
 
#6
primary: Carter; runoff: Deal
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: Predict Georgia  (Read 1332 times)
Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
Sr. Member
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Posts: 2,973


« on: October 23, 2014, 08:12:38 PM »

It goes to a runoff.  Carter will need at least a 2 point lead on Election Day to have a better than even chance to win.
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Podgy the Bear
mollybecky
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,973


« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2014, 12:51:14 AM »

Does anyone think Nunn has a better chance to win a runoff if the GOP wins the Senate on election day? Regardless, winning the election day vote on Nov 4 is a tremendous accomplishment and would signal Hillary has a real shot at Georgia with an even more diverse electorate.

Though it's probable that the GOP will win the Senate, I don't think it will happen on Election Day.  With Georgia and Louisiana as likely runoffs, they will have to pick up the six seats elsewhere and will more or less have to run the table and avoid losing Kansas to get to 51 in November.

I would agree that Nunn (and possibly Landrieu) does have a better chance to win a runoff if the GOP wins Senate control in November, Otherwise, the GOP will be supercharged and natural dropoff in runoff elections will favor them. 

This creates a dilemma--do the Dems lose the Senate on Election Day for a better chance of Nunn and Landrieu to win their runoff elections? 
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