Predict Georgia

[Adam Griffin]

Unlike my optimism for the Senate race (and a desire not to have to turn voters back out twice and keep campaigning for two more months), I think this will go to a run-off. If Carter edges out a plurality on Election Night, I think his chances of winning a run-off are much better than Nunn's. The Libertarian vote will likely be larger than normal in this particular election and I could actually see (unlike in other cases where people hope for it but it's not a reality) a lot of Hunt supporters skipping this race because they couldn't stomach Deal in the first place. The only reason Carter is as competitive as he is in the first place is because there's a sizable chunk of Republicans who are saying no to Deal and yes to Carter.