CO-Suffolk: RIP Udall (user search)
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  CO-Suffolk: RIP Udall (search mode)
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Author Topic: CO-Suffolk: RIP Udall  (Read 5481 times)
bedstuy
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« on: October 22, 2014, 04:06:46 PM »

If Gardner wins 40% of the vote in Denver/Boulder counties,  I will shove a thanksgiving turkey up my butt.

Just for clarification, is that what the poll said? Huh

If you look at the internals of the poll has Udall over Gardner 47%-40% in Denver/Boulder and Gardner over Udall 53%-34% in Jefferson/Arapahoe counties.  Both seem implausible as does Gardner's large lead among young voters.  The problem with that reasoning though is that you have a high margin of error on these smaller samples and the statistical power of the polling is in the top-line numbers.

Just compare some of these numbers to the PPP poll, it's kind of strange.

PPP: Gardner vs. Udall 18-29: Udall leads 59% to 22%
Suffolk:  Gardner vs. Udall 18-35: : Gardner leads 42% to 31%

That must be partly the weirdness of small samples, but I have my doubts about this Suffolk poll.
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