IL: WAA: Ds holding CD11/17, Rs lead in 10/12/13

[Miles]

Article.

CD10
Dold (R)- 47%
Schneider (D)- 45%

CD11
Foster (D)- 52%
Senger (R)- 40%

CD12
Bost (R)- 43.5%
Enyart (D)- 42%
Bradshaw (G)- 6%

CD13
Davis (R)- 53%
Callis (D)- 36%

CD17
Bustos (D)- 55%
Schilling (R)- 39%

[free my dawg]

>decimals

>shills gonna shill

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Article.

CD10
Dold (R)- 47%
Schneider (D)- 45%

CD12
Bost (R)- 43.5%
Enyart (D)- 42%
Bradshaw (G)- 6%

Boo!

Junk poll!!!
  -KCDem

[Mr. Illini]

I ask again - how does WAA account for college students in these polls? I know there were huge voter registration efforts on downstate campuses in IL-13 as well as IL-12, but many of those students' phones are likely not registered as downstate numbers.

[Vosem]

This is basically just confirming conventional wisdom in every race, yes?

[PAK Man]

I personally have always considered IL-11 safe for Foster (someone who defeats a popular incumbent Republican with almost 60% of the vote isn't vulnerable).

[Maxwell]

So this poll makes it seem that only Davis is going to win his race. And wow, Schilling is going to get annihilated.

[IceSpear]

>WAA so interpret with caution, but these don't seem too off the mark.

[Gass3268]

So this poll makes it seem that only Davis is going to win his race. And wow, Schilling is going to get annihilated.

I've got a gut feeling that Davis will be the only Republican of the 5 to win. I just remember all the polling in 2012 that showed Schneider, Foster, Enyart, Bustos losing, but they all ended up with pretty strong wins. Also this strengthens my position that if the Democrats keep total control of the state for redistricting in 2021 and Illinois loses a seat as they probably will, they should combine the strongest Democrat sections of the 12th and 13th. You could start down in Carbondale, go up to the St. Louis suburbs, head up and grab the Dem friendly areas in Springfield before going east to Champlain. 

[Maxwell]

So this poll makes it seem that only Davis is going to win his race. And wow, Schilling is going to get annihilated.

I've got a gut feeling that Davis will be the only Republican of the 5 to win. I just remember all the polling in 2012 that showed Schneider, Foster, Enyart, Bustos losing, but they all ended up with pretty strong wins. Also this strengthens my position that if the Democrats keep total control of the state for redistricting in 2021 and Illinois loses a seat as they probably will, they should combine the strongest Democrat sections of the 12th and 13th. You could start down in Carbondale, go up to the St. Louis suburbs, head up and grab the Dem friendly areas in Springfield before going east to Champlain. 

I could see Dold winning, but besides him, the other Democrats probably got it in the bag, though Enyart's race will certainly be a squeaker.

[morgieb]

First three make sense, other two seem inflated IMO.