NH: ARG: Shaheen +1

[Brittain33]

For reference, Shaheen led 53-43 in their September 29th poll.

This is going to be close - I'll give Shaheen the edge unless we start seeing more polls that have Brown up, but a Brown win wouldn't come as a big surprise. I think this race is more likely to flip than North Carolina.

I agree. A surprise win by Brown would be the least surprising surprise I can imagine, honestly. NH can swing tremendously from election to election. Tillis winning but not Brown would surprise me more.