Sabato late October ratings changes
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Author Topic: Sabato late October ratings changes  (Read 823 times)
Miles
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« on: October 23, 2014, 09:45:21 AM »
« edited: October 23, 2014, 09:47:05 AM by Miles »
Senate:


Governors


House changes:

AR02 Leans R→Toss-up
CA24 Safe D→Likely D
IA02 Likely D→Leans D
ME02 Toss-up→Leans D
NV04 Safe D→Likely D
NY11 Leans D→Toss-up
WV02 Leans R→Toss-up
WV03 Toss-up→Leans R
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The Other Castro
Castro2020
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« Reply #1 on: October 23, 2014, 10:57:59 AM »
I'd change Wisconsin and Michigan gov from lean R to tossup but the rest looks about right.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #2 on: October 23, 2014, 11:15:56 AM »
Yeah, not really sure how Wisconsin is still Lean R at this point.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2014, 12:10:03 PM »
I'd probably switch Maine Gov to Toss-Up as well.
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SWE
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2014, 02:32:49 PM »
Agree with all
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #5 on: October 23, 2014, 02:38:30 PM »
Waiting on Gov ratings for

Maine: Leans D --> tossup
Wisconsin: Leans R --> tossup
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SWE
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« Reply #6 on: October 23, 2014, 03:19:12 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on October 23, 2014, 02:38:30 PM
Waiting on Gov ratings for

Maine: Leans D --> tossup
Wisconsin: Leans R --> tossup
No state is going to be moved to Tossup now, because next week the category will be eliminated
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #7 on: October 23, 2014, 03:35:46 PM »
Wisconsin and Michigan as lean R? Trash.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 23, 2014, 03:41:01 PM »
Dumb to keep Iowa at lean R and CO at toss up. Braley clearly has a better chance than Udall at this point.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #9 on: October 23, 2014, 09:49:59 PM »
Quote from: Speaker SWE on October 23, 2014, 03:19:12 PM
Quote from: Joshua on October 23, 2014, 02:38:30 PM
Waiting on Gov ratings for

Maine: Leans D --> tossup
Wisconsin: Leans R --> tossup
No state is going to be moved to Tossup now, because next week the category will be eliminated

Will they at least have tilts?
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PAK Man
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« Reply #10 on: October 23, 2014, 10:08:54 PM »
Quote from: Castro2020 on October 23, 2014, 09:49:59 PM
Quote from: Speaker SWE on October 23, 2014, 03:19:12 PM
Quote from: Joshua on October 23, 2014, 02:38:30 PM
Waiting on Gov ratings for

Maine: Leans D --> tossup
Wisconsin: Leans R --> tossup
No state is going to be moved to Tossup now, because next week the category will be eliminated

Will they at least have tilts?

I don't believe Sabato has ever had "tilt" in his ratings. That's more of a Rothenberg thing.
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Podgy the Bear
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« Reply #11 on: October 24, 2014, 01:09:33 AM »
If Orman wins Kansas and Gardner wins Colorado, it will leave the following Senate breakdown:

1) R 50
2) D 45
3) I 3 (including Orman)
4) Runoff 2

This will probably result in the following:

1) Significant pressure for Orman to caucus with the GOP
2) A supermotivated GOP to push hard for the two runoffs in Louisiana and Georgia

It doesn't look very good for the Dems at this point...either lose the Senate on Election Day or in December/January.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #12 on: October 24, 2014, 02:26:51 AM »
Those 2 WV house seats switch places? Odd.
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Potus
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« Reply #13 on: October 24, 2014, 02:32:34 AM »

I completely disagree with those ratings. WV-02 is lean, if not likely, R at this point. WV-03 is a tossup, but I hope Jenkins pulls it off.
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