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IceSpear
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« on: October 24, 2014, 04:35:16 PM »

Does anyone else browse this site? It's a bit too volatile early on due to the fact that it only counts polls within a week, but closer to the election it gets more reliable. At the moment they have Dem 48, Rep 50, Orman 1, and a tie in Iowa. Of course, they're not taking into account the potential runoff in GA.

http://electoral-vote.com/

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Ebowed
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« Reply #1 on: October 24, 2014, 04:46:00 PM »

Yeah, I followed them in 2004 actually.  They were ok in 2008 too.  I dunno how their record is on midterms.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2014, 04:57:45 PM »

Yeah, I followed them in 2004 actually.  They were ok in 2008 too.  I dunno how their record is on midterms.
I glanced at their projection on election night 2010. Their predictions were basically the same as 538/RCP - got most right except for NV and CO (which nobody got). Not surprising, since all pure poll aggregators should get the same result in theory.
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