When will we know which party controls the Senate?
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  When will we know which party controls the Senate?
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Author Topic: When will we know which party controls the Senate?  (Read 663 times)
ShamDam
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« on: October 25, 2014, 01:02:19 AM »
« edited: October 25, 2014, 01:20:48 AM by ChanDan »

Considering that some races may be close enough to justify a recount, and that there will likely be runoffs in Louisiana and Georgia...

Discuta.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: October 25, 2014, 01:56:49 AM »

10 days from election day, my prediction is:

- GOP wins MT/WV/SD/AR/CO/AK/KY on election day, but Dems hold IA/NC/NH, and Orman wins in Kansas. GA/LA go to runoffs. 48 D, 49 R, 1 Orman

- Orman remains mum, keeping his powder dry since he'd only be the decisive vote if one runoff goes D and the other goes R.

- Despite a valiant effort, Landrieu loses her runoff in December, giving the GOP another pick up.

- With the eyes of the nation shifting to Georgia as the race that will decide whether Republicans assume guaranteed control or Orman becomes king of the Senate, Nunn's crossover support evaporates as the election becomes a referendum on Democratic control of the Senate. Combined with Dem turnout likely dropping, the GOP picks up the seat and with it, control of the Senate.

So basically, I think Democrats losing the Senate is going to be a long, drawn out, and painful process lasting two months. Tongue
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Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee
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« Reply #2 on: October 25, 2014, 01:57:21 AM »

NOTA


The Senate cannot be controlled until one party gets 60 seats. Tongue
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Mehmentum
Icefire9
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« Reply #3 on: October 25, 2014, 08:24:37 AM »

NOTA


The Senate cannot be controlled until one party gets 60 seats. Tongue
This is the real right answer.
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Bigby
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« Reply #4 on: October 25, 2014, 08:31:04 AM »

January.

*unplugs cable for 2 months.*
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SWE
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« Reply #5 on: October 25, 2014, 08:39:24 AM »

Once Colorado is called
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Joe Biden 2020
BushOklahoma
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« Reply #6 on: October 25, 2014, 09:03:24 AM »

January 6 when Georgia's runoff election occurs.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #7 on: October 25, 2014, 02:46:27 PM »

NOTA


The Senate cannot be controlled until one party gets 60 seats. Tongue
This is the real right answer.
Which might happen in 2016.
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Flake
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« Reply #8 on: October 25, 2014, 02:49:24 PM »

NOTA


The Senate cannot be controlled until one party gets 60 seats. Tongue
This is the real right answer.
Which might happen in 2016.

lol no it wont
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #9 on: October 25, 2014, 02:50:48 PM »

NOTA


The Senate cannot be controlled until one party gets 60 seats. Tongue
This is the real right answer.
Which might happen in 2016.

How would that be possible?
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #10 on: October 25, 2014, 02:51:32 PM »

If we think about it, AR, AK, CO, IA, MT, SD, and WV all will fully result on election night. Its unlikely that 6/7 will go Republican (though its possible). If 5 fall on election night, and Louisiana is added to Republican's tally in December, Georgia can upset the Republican majority with Nunn winning in January (though I don't know her chances of winning a runoff (or even if it does go to a runoff)). If 6 fall on election night, and Louisiana is added, even with Georgia R's will gain control. It'll most certainly be in Dec or Jan, but guessing which one is hard.
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°Leprechaun
tmcusa2
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« Reply #11 on: October 25, 2014, 03:05:03 PM »

I think it is possible, albeit unlikely, depending how this year's elections turn out
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #12 on: October 25, 2014, 03:38:28 PM »

January.

*unplugs cable for 2 months.*
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #13 on: October 25, 2014, 10:20:16 PM »

November 4th

Republicans pick up Montana, West Virginia, South Dakota, Arkansas, Alaska, Colorado, and Iowa on Election Night, while narrowly holding on to Kansas. 51 seats.

In the run-offs, I think Perdue wins, but I honestly think Landrieu might be able to pull it off.

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ShamDam
ChanDan
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« Reply #14 on: October 26, 2014, 12:07:07 AM »

November 4th

Republicans pick up Montana, West Virginia, South Dakota, Arkansas, Alaska, Colorado, and Iowa on Election Night, while narrowly holding on to Kansas. 51 seats.

In the run-offs, I think Perdue wins, but I honestly think Landrieu might be able to pull it off.



Are you assuming a loss in Georgia? Because if not that's 52 seats I think.
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