If Mark Udall (D-CO) survives, what will be the factor that did it?

[sg0508]

1) Youth vote turnout
2) Hispanic turnout
3) Disappointing GOP turnout, even though CO has early voting
4) A slight, slight coattail effect from Hickenlooper, who likely will outpoll Udall by 2-3 points from the polls we seem
5) Something else

This could be a race in which we really don't know what the biggest factor is and thus, overall turnout could just be the "it" factor that decides the outcome.

[RogueBeaver]

Ground game. As 538 has pointed out, the difference between D and good public polls is whites, not Hispanics.

[🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸]

Ground game. As 538 has pointed out, the difference between D and good public polls is whites, not Hispanics.

I didn't really follow the logic in that article.

[5280]

Ground game and getting the youth out.  Highly doubt he will survive though.

[King]

Denver and Boulder youngs putting down the bong long enough to vote

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Probably a combination of 1-3, and a ton of good luck. Enough said.

[Badger]

Divine intervention.

[Vega]

Ground Game for sure.

[Ebowed]

All of this talk of superior ground game in Colorado will be put to the test, that's for sure.

I'm growing less confident by the day on this one, as it feels like the last reason to think Udall can survive is because Bennet outperformed his polling in 2010.  There's no reason to necessarily assume that will happen again (although I do recall the polls in 2012 being off as well, come to think of it).

[King]

If Gardner can't win this, GOP might as well just give up on Colorado.

[Free Bird]

If Gardner can't win this, GOP might as well just give up on Colorado.

[New_Conservative]

Hispanic turnout would be key in a Udall victory. I doubt the youth turnout will be a factor, and if it is I'm not convinced Udall will win the millennial vote as much as Obama did.