New CBS/NYT/YouGov polls tomorrow morning

[Lief 🗽]

To be released at 10:30 am. Get hyped.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Pillars of salt are ready.

[Flake]

I thought they only had three waves of polling. Hopefully this round will be somewhat accurate, unlike the first two waves.

[IceSpear]

Pillars of salt are ready.

This.

Will these be the final YouGov polls, or will they be doing one more wave?

[Devils30]

Hope they don't interview same ones again. Made samples really off in some races

[Free Bird]

Pillars of salt are ready.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

Exactly what I need to spoil my Sunday.

[King]

lol these are going to be so awful

[IceSpear]

lol these are going to be so awful

The funny thing is that they went from super R-biased in the first two waves to D-biased in the most recent wave (they were one of the only pollsters to have Udall/Schauer ahead, for example). It's anyone's guess what we can expect this time.

[Bandit3 the Worker]

lol these are going to be so awful

The funny thing is that they went from super R-biased in the first two waves to D-biased in the most recent wave (they were one of the only pollsters to have Udall/Schauer ahead, for example). It's anyone's guess what we can expect this time.

It's CBS, so I'm not optimistic.

[morgieb]

Pillars of salt are ready.

[Keystone Phil]

I see the usual suspects are playing down expectations so they can gloat when the Dems are shown doing well in these polls.

[Flake]

I see the usual suspects are playing down expectations so they can gloat when the Dems are shown doing well in these polls.

These polls are notoriously bad and far too friendly to the Republicans that re-used the same voters they contacted with the first three waves.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I see the usual suspects are playing down expectations so they can gloat when the Dems are shown doing well in these polls.

These polls are notoriously bad and far too friendly to the Republicans that re-used the same voters they contacted with the first three waves.

C'mon Phil... don't be silly now.

[Keystone Phil]

Literally zero polls have Dem bias while a slew have a GOP bias affording to the Atlas Forum Bubble Mentality.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Literally zero polls have Dem bias while a slew have a GOP bias affording to the Atlas Forum Bubble Mentality.

I don't know anyone who says Dem-leaning polls don't have A bias, it just so happens that the GOP polling industry is more egregious in their bias and analysis shows this to be the case.

[RI]

I don't know if I'd say YouGov is biased against Dems as much as their polls are just really erratic and often cut against current conventional wisdom, partially due to their large sampling period. Their results can be lagging compared to most polls.

[Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort]

Rented a forklift and wood pallets from Home Depot today in preparation to handle the industrialized bags of salt I'm going to be dealing with tomorrow.

[IceSpear]

I don't know if I'd say YouGov is biased against Dems as much as their polls are just really erratic and often cut against current conventional wisdom, partially due to their large sampling period. Their results can be lagging compared to most polls.

Like I said above, their most recent wave actually favored the Dems overall, despite the first two favoring the GOP. Regardless, I try not to take them into account at all when thinking about the standing of a race. Since we're almost in the final week of the election, that'll be even easier to do as more polls flood in.

[Senator Cris]

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/27/upshot/a-republican-edge-with-more-stability.html?_r=0

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/27/upshot/a-republican-edge-with-more-stability.html?_r=0&abt=0002&abg=1

Peters +8
Shaheen +5
Hagan +3
Udall +1
Braley/Ernst tie
Perdue +3
Cassidy +4
Roberts +4
Sullivan +4
Cotton +5
McConnell +6
Rounds +13

[Devils30]

Too many undecideds and weird compared to other polls. Doesn't seem to offer much to clear the picture at all.

[Keystone Phil]

So do the Dems gloat about these because Mark U-Haul is up one or do they disregard them because soon-to-be-re-elected Senator Roberts has a smashing four point lead?

[Lief 🗽]

So do the Dems gloat about these because Mark U-Haul is up one or do they disregard them because soon-to-be-re-elected Senator Roberts has a smashing four point lead?

YouGov has a very Republican Kansas sample. They've been showing soon-to-be one-term governor Brownback leading for months.

[Free Bird]

+ 1 for Uterus but + 4 for Rolling Roberts? Iowa I can sorta buy, but that's still stupid too.