Was Rothenberg right about Rounds? (user search)
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  Was Rothenberg right about Rounds? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Was Rothenberg right about Rounds?  (Read 732 times)
Attorney General, Senator-Elect, & Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« on: October 26, 2014, 03:30:13 PM »
« edited: October 26, 2014, 03:32:53 PM by Wulfric »

There was a "message tested" internal poll (by POS, no less) showing Rounds up 24 points. Obviously, Rothenberg believing this at face value was incredibly idiotic, even if Rounds is doing much better than he was.

http://images.politico.com/global/2014/10/22/sd_sen_oct_poll_memo1.html
But even if you take off 5, 10, even 15 points from rounds's lead for a house effect/bias/whatever, that's still a more significant rounds lead then we've seen in a while, and while I hate YouGov and have mixed views on Marist, it still holds that when three polls show you a more comfortable lead for a candidate, more often than not it's real. Granted, there are times when it isn't, but it is more often than not.

Still, none of this means that I am declaring SD Safe R.

I hope that PPP does an independent SD poll as part of its final round, and we'll see what Monmouth shows. But it seems that Rounds is on better footing than three weeks ago, at least slightly.
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