Was Rothenberg right about Rounds?

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

Rounds has been getting over >40% and has double digit leads. He should be thankful that this is a 3-way race.

As a popular former Governor, he should be winning 55%-25%-20% and he probably would be if he had campaigned hard and aggressively and avoided the corruption whilst in office. He used to have a history of outperforming, as he was a surprise win in the 2002 GOP primary if what I read is correct.