MI: Detroit News/WDIV-TV (by Glengariff Group): Snyder (R) +6
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  MI: Detroit News/WDIV-TV (by Glengariff Group): Snyder (R) +6
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Author Topic: MI: Detroit News/WDIV-TV (by Glengariff Group): Snyder (R) +6  (Read 1767 times)
cinyc
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« on: October 27, 2014, 06:40:52 PM »

Detroit News/WDIV-TV Poll (by Glengariff Group):
Snyder (R) 45.2%
Schauer (D) 39.5%
Third Party 5%
Don't Know/Refused 10.3%

October 22-24; 600 Definite Voters; MoE +/- 4.

According to the linked article, the self-identified partisan breakdown is 39% Democrat, 35% Republican, 25% Independent.   Schauer has a 12-point lead among those who have returned absentee ballots.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #1 on: October 27, 2014, 06:59:06 PM »

That would be +5. And down 3 points from their last poll. The crappy Michigan-centric pollsters may show Snyder winning easily, but PPP shows a tie. Judging from 2012, I know who I believe.
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cinyc
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« Reply #2 on: October 27, 2014, 07:00:26 PM »

That would be +5. And down 3 points from their last poll. The crappy Michigan-centric pollsters may show Snyder winning easily, but PPP shows a tie. Judging from 2012, I know who I believe.

45.2 - 39.5=5.7, which rounds up to 6.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2014, 07:02:48 PM »

That would be +5. And down 3 points from their last poll. The crappy Michigan-centric pollsters may show Snyder winning easily, but PPP shows a tie. Judging from 2012, I know who I believe.

45.2 - 39.5=5.7, which rounds up to 6.

The most common practice is rounding the topline numbers, then giving the spread. At least that's how all poll aggregation sites do it.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #4 on: October 27, 2014, 07:05:08 PM »

Looks like Schauer's got the big mo' heading into election day! Great news!
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New_Conservative
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« Reply #5 on: October 27, 2014, 07:46:43 PM »

#RidingtheWave
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2014, 12:22:35 AM »


Sorry... there's a wave?
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2014, 12:30:56 AM »

I'll be annoyed if either side tries to claim the term "wave" after election night. We have around 13 seats that will likely be decided by less than 5%.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2014, 12:58:57 AM »

Considering Snyder won by 18 points in 2010 yet is now in a real race (and Peters looks set to win by high single digits/low double digits), if there does end up being a wave, it probably won't be washing up on the shore of Michigan.
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ElectionAtlas
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2014, 05:02:06 AM »

New Poll: Michigan Governor by Glengariff Group on 2014-10-24

Summary: D: 40%, R: 45%, I: 5%, U: 9%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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dmmidmi
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2014, 06:50:24 AM »

Considering Snyder won by 18 points in 2010 yet is now in a real race (and Peters looks set to win by high single digits/low double digits), if there does end up being a wave, it probably won't be washing up on the shore of Michigan.

The Democrat running for US Senate is going to win by double-digits, too. The most likely scenario in Michigan is that--just as in 2012--absolutely nothing changes. None of the US House seats flip, the Governorship doesn't flip, the GOP holds the State Legislature, AG and SOS offices, and Democrats hold the US Senate seat.
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