Who wins Alaska?
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  Who wins Alaska?
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Poll
Question: Who wins the Alaska Senate race?
#1
Begich
 
#2
Sullivan
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 76

Author Topic: Who wins Alaska?  (Read 1088 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
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« on: October 28, 2014, 02:27:30 PM »

I'm just seeing if we are all on the same page here with the recent crap polls clogging the average.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1 on: October 28, 2014, 02:28:39 PM »

I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.
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IceSpear
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E: -6.19, S: -6.43

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« Reply #2 on: October 28, 2014, 02:31:06 PM »

I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.
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windjammer
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« Reply #3 on: October 28, 2014, 02:31:52 PM »

I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.

Begich by 10 points, or Sullivan by 10 Tongue
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KCDem
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« Reply #4 on: October 28, 2014, 02:47:44 PM »

Begich, but the cone of uncertainty is fairly wide.
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Never
Never Convinced
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« Reply #5 on: October 28, 2014, 04:15:00 PM »

I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: October 28, 2014, 04:19:28 PM »

Sullivan
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
Joshua
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« Reply #7 on: October 28, 2014, 04:20:41 PM »

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Mehmentum
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« Reply #8 on: October 28, 2014, 04:53:59 PM »

I'm going to stick my neck on the line and say Begich wins this. (though I wouldn't be surprised to be proven wrong)
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #9 on: October 28, 2014, 04:56:09 PM »

NFI - which has been my position from the get-go.

Personally, I'd be wary of counting Begich out.
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morgieb
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #10 on: October 28, 2014, 05:43:08 PM »

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TDAS04
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« Reply #11 on: October 28, 2014, 07:24:09 PM »

Probably Sullivan, unfortunately.
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cbannon5
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« Reply #12 on: October 28, 2014, 07:32:00 PM »

I was just checking out Sam Wang's Princeton Election Consortium.  He has the probability that Begich wins at 71%.  I hope he's right, but I'll believe that Begich wins when I see it. 
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Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
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« Reply #13 on: October 28, 2014, 09:02:32 PM »

Lean Sullivan, but if Begich wins it wouldn't be a huge surprise at all.
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RR1997
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« Reply #14 on: October 28, 2014, 09:06:18 PM »

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #15 on: October 29, 2014, 03:01:12 AM »

I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.

Begich by 10 points, or Sullivan by 10 Tongue
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Ebowed
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« Reply #16 on: October 29, 2014, 03:37:36 AM »

I've been pretty convinced all year that Begich is relatively safe - as in, will win even if it is under 50%, which looks quite likely.

Of course, I've been wrong before. Smiley
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🐒Gods of Prosperity🔱🐲💸
shua
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« Reply #17 on: October 29, 2014, 09:37:47 AM »

I've been pretty convinced all year that Begich is relatively safe - as in, will win even if it is under 50%, which looks quite likely.

Of course, I've been wrong before. Smiley

He's far from safe but yeah, my guess is Begich wins with less than 50%.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
Mr. X
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« Reply #18 on: October 29, 2014, 09:41:53 AM »

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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
olawakandi
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« Reply #19 on: October 29, 2014, 09:45:59 AM »

Braley, Udall and Begich are in similar positions, but if it coincides with Nunn winning, we will prevail.
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Bigby
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« Reply #20 on: October 29, 2014, 10:32:23 AM »

Sullivan, but the race is far from Safe R.
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SNJ1985
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« Reply #21 on: October 29, 2014, 10:34:38 AM »

Sullivan, but the race is far from Safe R.
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Lief 🗽
Lief
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« Reply #22 on: October 29, 2014, 10:36:26 AM »

I'm hopeful that Begich wins (and I think it's more realistic than Udall in Colorado or arguably even Bill Barkley in Iowa), but Sullivan is who I would put my money on if forced to.
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Vern
vern1988
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2014, 12:13:45 PM »

I'm going to stick with Sullivan, though nothing would really surprise me.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #24 on: October 29, 2014, 02:21:38 PM »

Are we seriously giving the Ivan Moore poll merit here?
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