Palin may run in 2016

[IceSpear]

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/10/28/sarah-palin-run-for-office_n_6063228.html

LOL! I loved this quote from her:

"If they want a fighter, if they want someone...who...can so...respect, our exceptionalism, everything that makes America great. The promise of America. And if we don't find that, I could run."

[IceSpear]

It should be noted how board Republicans responded to this.

She'd have no shot.

To be fair, probably about 2 Republicans on this board like Santorum, and he finished second in 2012.

[IceSpear]

She won't run for President in 2016, but I wouldn't be surprised to see her run for something again at some point down the road. Like Jeb, her best shot at the presidency was probably 2012. She would have taken the lead of the non-Romney candidates (her only competition would have been Perry), and could have defeated Romney in the primary. She may challenge Lisa Murkowski in 2016. However, I wouldn't be surprised to see her as Secretary of the Interior if Cruz or Paul manages to get elected.

You really think the Senate would confirm her? That would go over about as well as Hillary nominating Obama for the SCOTUS.

[IceSpear]

She won't run for President in 2016, but I wouldn't be surprised to see her run for something again at some point down the road. Like Jeb, her best shot at the presidency was probably 2012. She would have taken the lead of the non-Romney candidates (her only competition would have been Perry), and could have defeated Romney in the primary. She may challenge Lisa Murkowski in 2016. However, I wouldn't be surprised to see her as Secretary of the Interior if Cruz or Paul manages to get elected.

You really think the Senate would confirm her? That would go over about as well as Hillary nominating Obama for the SCOTUS.

They would confirm her. A cabinet confirmation requires a simple majority, with the Vice President breaking ties. If the Republicans keep the senate, it's a no brainer. But even if not, senate confirmations are supposed to be apolitical. They are intended to see if a nominee is fit to hold the office, regardless of their politics. The majority of senate confirmations are near unanimous one way or the other.

Chuck Hagel, a former Republican Senator, only got confirmed 58-41. And his nomination was filibustered beforehand, so you don't just need a simple majority. It's not the 20th century anymore. Palin couldn't even make it through a Republican Senate (unless they nuked the filibuster), much less a Democratic one.

[IceSpear]

She won't run for President in 2016, but I wouldn't be surprised to see her run for something again at some point down the road. Like Jeb, her best shot at the presidency was probably 2012. She would have taken the lead of the non-Romney candidates (her only competition would have been Perry), and could have defeated Romney in the primary. She may challenge Lisa Murkowski in 2016. However, I wouldn't be surprised to see her as Secretary of the Interior if Cruz or Paul manages to get elected.

You really think the Senate would confirm her? That would go over about as well as Hillary nominating Obama for the SCOTUS.

They would confirm her. A cabinet confirmation requires a simple majority, with the Vice President breaking ties. If the Republicans keep the senate, it's a no brainer. But even if not, senate confirmations are supposed to be apolitical. They are intended to see if a nominee is fit to hold the office, regardless of their politics. The majority of senate confirmations are near unanimous one way or the other.

Chuck Hagel, a former Republican Senator, only got confirmed 58-41. And his nomination was filibustered beforehand, so you don't just need a simple majority. It's not the 20th century anymore. Palin couldn't even make it through a Republican Senate (unless they nuked the filibuster), much less a Democratic one.

Confirmations require 51 votes. A simple majority. Until last year, fillibusters could only be stopped with a super majority of 60 votes. Harry Reid changed the rules, so fillibusters can now be halted with 51 votes.
And do you really think that if Ted Cruz were elected president, Republican senators wouldn't vote to confirm Palin as Secretary of the Interior? When it comes to management of national parks, she's right in lock step with the majority of the Republican party. That might be a tough one to explain to their constituents.

Ah, I forgot the rules change applied to Cabinet nominations as well, my mistake. Cruz will never win the presidency, so it's irrelevant anyway. Paul is smart enough to not touch Palin with a ten foot pole if he did win. If it did manage to happen, Murkowski hates Palin and would never vote to confirm her, and there are some other blue/purple state Republicans that would be hesitant to do so as well. Obviously no Democrat would. I'm also not sure why anyone would expend so much political capital early on just to get an unpopular quitter on their cabinet.