Who will win in Maine?

[SWE]

Michaud has about as much of a chance as Mary Burke. Let's put it that way

Based off what?

These states both have Republican candidates on the ballot you see, so according to FreedomHawk, both must be Safe R.

[Free Bird]

Michaud has about as much of a chance as Mary Burke. Let's put it that way

Based off what?

Because Freedomhack can see Maine through his telescope.

More like I am a part time resident and have been all around the state

[Grumpier Than Thou]

My gut tells me LePage. My gut is usually wrong, but I can't ignore it.

[Indy Texas]

This just came out this afternoon:

http://www.pressherald.com/2014/10/29/angus-king-switches-endorsement-from-cutler-to-michaud/

I don't care much for King--his sentiments go whichever way the wind blows.  But this endorsement for Michaud (plus some of the Cutler supporters who declared for Michaud after the Cutler press conference) can't hurt.

I think if this means anything it's that Angus King is going to stay in the Democratic caucus next year with or without a Republican majority.

[Dixie Reborn]

Probably Michaud.

[Stand With Israel. Crush Hamas]

I think Michaud pulls this out, one of three Dems to unseat Republican incumbents.

Governor's races rarely get nationalized, Cutler is collapsing, and LePage isn't popular.

Who do you think the third is? Davis or Crist?

Crist, I think. I suspect that Kansas' partisan lean will win out and carry both Brownback and Roberts to very narrow victories, but I wouldn't be surprised by the Dems winning four.

All of these are cases of widely disliked incumbents that don't really say much either way about the national mood.

[Suburbia]

Leaning Michaud. If LePage wins again, some folks may want him to run for president in 2016. Imagine him and Christie arguing on the GOP debate stage.