Can you create an Obama sweep in your state?

[they don't love you like i love you]

I remember doing this for Minnesota once so I'll probably do it again. It's quite easy really, MN-01 can remain intact, MN-07 and MN-08 swap precincts to get MN-07 an Obama win and in the metro you have to do some weird carving and split Minneapolis to get some exurbs in with urban seats and then turn the old Bachmann seat into a weird sort of St. Cloud to inner suburbs strip. Barely for Obama, but won nonetheless.

Can you do it without chopping Mpls or StPaul?

McCain won the old MN-02, MN-03 and MN-06 combined, so not out of those three alone. But if you added the suburban parts of MN-04 and MN-05 it's probably possible, though it'd require a strip running form at least one of the inner cities to exurbs.

[user12345]

I wanted to see how much fun I could have with Missouri even thought it was won by McCain so here's the best I could do.
District 1: Obama 51.2% McCain 47.6%
District 2: Obama 52.5% McCain 46.6%
District 3: Obama 53.5% McCain 45.3%
District 4: Obama 54.7% McCain 44.4%
District 5: Obama 55.2% McCain 43.7%
District 6: Obama 50.9% McCain 47.5%
District 7: Obama 38.7% McCain 59.6%
District 8: Obama 34.9% McCain 63.7%

[morgieb]

Challenges: Kansas, Arizona, Nevada

Nevada's pretty simple:



Las Vegas close-up:



NV-01 (blue), 57.9% Obama, 54.4% D average
NV-02 (green), 51.0% Obama, 46.6% D average
NV-03 (purple), 54.3% Obama, 52.9% D average
NV-04 (red), 59.0% Obama, 56.7% D average

[Adam Griffin]

Obviously a sweep is impossible, but I was able to carve out a map with 12 Obama 2008 CDs (pretty sure with a bit more planning, a 13-1 is possible).



CD-1: 50.3% Obama, 48.9% McCain
CD-2: 51.2% Obama, 47.9% McCain
CD-3: 49.6% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-4: 50.2% Obama, 49.0% McCain
CD-5: 49.7% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-6: 49.8% Obama, 49.7% McCain
CD-7: 49.8% Obama, 49.6% McCain
CD-8: 49.8% Obama, 49.4% McCain
CD-9: 49.7% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-10: 73.5% McCain, 25.7% Obama
CD-11: 49.7% Obama, 49.7% McCain
CD-12: 66.2% McCain, 33.2% Obama
CD-13: 49.9% Obama, 49.6% McCain
CD-14: 51.4% Obama, 48.0% McCain

[muon2]

Obviously a sweep is impossible, but I was able to carve out a map with 12 Obama 2008 CDs (pretty sure with a bit more planning, a 13-1 is possible).



CD-1: 50.3% Obama, 48.9% McCain
CD-2: 51.2% Obama, 47.9% McCain
CD-3: 49.6% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-4: 50.2% Obama, 49.0% McCain
CD-5: 49.7% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-6: 49.8% Obama, 49.7% McCain
CD-7: 49.8% Obama, 49.6% McCain
CD-8: 49.8% Obama, 49.4% McCain
CD-9: 49.7% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-10: 73.5% McCain, 25.7% Obama
CD-11: 49.7% Obama, 49.7% McCain
CD-12: 66.2% McCain, 33.2% Obama
CD-13: 49.9% Obama, 49.6% McCain
CD-14: 51.4% Obama, 48.0% McCain

The point contiguity is unfortunate (eg. 7-10, 10-11). Is it possible to draw the districts with regular contiguity only?

[Adam Griffin]

Obviously a sweep is impossible, but I was able to carve out a map with 12 Obama 2008 CDs (pretty sure with a bit more planning, a 13-1 is possible).



CD-1: 50.3% Obama, 48.9% McCain
CD-2: 51.2% Obama, 47.9% McCain
CD-3: 49.6% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-4: 50.2% Obama, 49.0% McCain
CD-5: 49.7% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-6: 49.8% Obama, 49.7% McCain
CD-7: 49.8% Obama, 49.6% McCain
CD-8: 49.8% Obama, 49.4% McCain
CD-9: 49.7% Obama, 49.5% McCain
CD-10: 73.5% McCain, 25.7% Obama
CD-11: 49.7% Obama, 49.7% McCain
CD-12: 66.2% McCain, 33.2% Obama
CD-13: 49.9% Obama, 49.6% McCain
CD-14: 51.4% Obama, 48.0% McCain

The point contiguity is unfortunate (eg. 7-10, 10-11). Is it possible to draw the districts with regular contiguity only?

I'm pretty sure point contiguity is allowed in Georgia (the 2001 Barnesmander featured it, if I recall correctly, and we have quite a number of precincts that are drawn this way, too), but yes, I could draw a similarly-balanced map without it (I actually like point contiguity, to add a kick of flavor to any gerrymander).

[ElectionsGuy]

Pretty easy to do one in Wisconsin in 2008, but I tried to do it so these would hold in 2012 as well. Unfortunately, knowing how much rural Wisconsin swung in 2012 from 2008, the northern two districts might have been narrow Romney wins.





Blue: 58.3% Obama, 40.7% McCain
Green: 55.9% Obama, 42.7% McCain
Purple: 57.0% Obama, 41.5% McCain
Red: 59.2% Obama, 39.4% McCain
Yellow: 55.0% Obama, 43.5% McCain
Teal: 54.9% Obama, 43.4% McCain
Grey: 54.0% Obama, 44.2% McCain
Slate Blue: 54.9% Obama, 43.6% McCain

[publicunofficial]

Challenges: Kansas, Arizona, Nevada

Nevada's pretty simple:



Las Vegas close-up:



NV-01 (blue), 57.9% Obama, 54.4% D average
NV-02 (green), 51.0% Obama, 46.6% D average
NV-03 (purple), 54.3% Obama, 52.9% D average
NV-04 (red), 59.0% Obama, 56.7% D average

Didn't Obama sweep Nevada's current map in '08?

[morgieb]

Challenges: Kansas, Arizona, Nevada

Nevada's pretty simple:



Las Vegas close-up:



NV-01 (blue), 57.9% Obama, 54.4% D average
NV-02 (green), 51.0% Obama, 46.6% D average
NV-03 (purple), 54.3% Obama, 52.9% D average
NV-04 (red), 59.0% Obama, 56.7% D average

Didn't Obama sweep Nevada's current map in '08?

I think so. But someone wanted that map done. In hindsight though I probs should've split Reno/Carson City.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Here's one for NY that was done before the census results were released, that's why it has 28.
http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6166/contest-entry-ny-280-with-58-obama-or-more-finding-limits

There are 4 districts that stretch from the western most part of the state to Westchester. LOL.

[publicunofficial]

Here's one for NY that was done before the census results were released, that's why it has 28.
http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6166/contest-entry-ny-280-with-58-obama-or-more-finding-limits

There are 4 districts that stretch from the western most part of the state to Westchester. LOL.

The Baconmander is probably my favorite thing anyone has created in DRA.

[Bacon King]

Obviously a sweep is impossible, but I was able to carve out a map with 12 Obama 2008 CDs (pretty sure with a bit more planning, a 13-1 is possible).

After playing around with DRA a bit, I don't think a 13-1 is doable. It doesn't appear to be possible to draw a single district in such a way that the remainder of the state has an Obama plurality. The maximum GOP pack I have been able to draw still gives an 8000 vote margin for McCain in the rest of the state (if you want to make an attempt to prove the theoretical possibility of a 13-1 map though, I recommend you use the "old way" to color by election because the >80% GOP precincts are easy to spot

[Adam Griffin]

Obviously a sweep is impossible, but I was able to carve out a map with 12 Obama 2008 CDs (pretty sure with a bit more planning, a 13-1 is possible).

After playing around with DRA a bit, I don't think a 13-1 is doable. It doesn't appear to be possible to draw a single district in such a way that the remainder of the state has an Obama plurality. The maximum GOP pack I have been able to draw still gives an 8000 vote margin for McCain in the rest of the state (if you want to make an attempt to prove the theoretical possibility of a 13-1 map though, I recommend you use the "old way" to color by election because the >80% GOP precincts are easy to spot

I got McCain's margin down to 4,100 like so (don't worry: 3 instances of point contiguity around the metro!), but I'm going to take another whack at it later. Based on some of the areas I did fill out initially, I still think it is actually possible.

[Adam Griffin]

EDIT: This has one slight point contiguity issue that I didn't catch before, and I may fix it later, but given the margin I was able to generate for Obama in the rest of the state I'm confident that the overall result will still hold once fixed

CD:

McCain 81.1% (263,709)
Obama 18.0% (58,554)

Rest of the State:

Obama 49.6% (1,785,652)
McCain 49.6% (1,785,116)

[Bacon King]

Roy Barnes would be proud!

[Miles]

You have to settle for 2 McCain seats in NC:



Obama %

1- 50.9
2- 50.0
3- 49.7 (won by 35 votes)
4- 56.1
5- 49.6 (won by 33 votes)
6- 28.7
7- 49.6 (won by 182 votes)
8- 65.3
9- 49.8 (won by 214 votes)
10- 33.9
11- 51.4
12- 57.2
13- 51.5

[Flake]

Here's one for NY that was done before the census results were released, that's why it has 28.
http://www.swingstateproject.com/diary/6166/contest-entry-ny-280-with-58-obama-or-more-finding-limits

There are 4 districts that stretch from the western most part of the state to Westchester. LOL.

The Baconmander is probably my favorite thing anyone has created in DRA.

Not even the one I made with 4 Alabama districts voting Obama and 3 McCain?

[traininthedistance]

You have to settle for 2 McCain seats in NC:

Sorry to steal your thunder, but I actually made a 13-0 NC on the first page.

[Miles]

^ Wow, I missed that. Good job!