Who will win in NE-2?

[ElectionsGuy]

Ashford, I think.

[Vega]

Ashford.

[KCDem]

The one who isn't supported by a violent criminal.

How bout that:

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[Maxwell]

Think about this: In 2012, his challenger got next to no support from the DNC, and he still out-performed Obama and nearly beat Terry (51-49). Now Ashford is a well-funded, well-known challenger who is a moderate and a former Republican. Polls show Terry down 5, I argue it could be even more.

Long term prospects for Ashford aren't promising though - It's a Lean R district, he's 64, and chances are, the Republican bench in this area is good.

[IceSpear]

Ashford

[IceSpear]

Rothenberg just moved this to Tilt D, in an update that was otherwise fairly bullish for Republican chances.

[Miles]

Long term prospects for Ashford aren't promising though - It's a Lean R district, he's 64, and chances are, the Republican bench in this area is good.

Ashford wins, but yeah, this was my thinking, too.

Pete Festersen should be kicking himself.

[Vosem]

It's looking like a fairly weak year for Nebraska Rs overall, with Ricketts possibly being held to single-digits and all indicators showing Terry losing. I'm not as confident as some of the others in this thread, as Terry's taken Ashford seriously, and when he's actually campaigned (the last time was in 2008) he's managed to overperform the top of the ticket; McCain definitely lost NE-2 and Johanns may very well have done so as well, though I'm unsure. He was napping in 2012 and he's not now. But the indications from the ground do seem to show Ashford winning.

I'm not sure Festersen would be winning; he was never enthusiastic about running and he wouldn't have Ashford's advantage of being an ex-Republican, and being seen analogously to how Bill Walker is in Alaska (as a Republican who is running under a different line because they had a chance in the general election and not in the primary).