Which state is harder for the GOP
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Poll
Question: Michigan or Massachusetts
#1
Michigan		  
#2
Massachusetts		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 58

Author Topic: Which state is harder for the GOP  (Read 2355 times)
hangfan91
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« on: November 05, 2014, 08:56:25 PM »
Both states have one large metropolitan city (Detroit Metro and Boston) surrounded by vast rural areas that are Republican voting.

Which is state is deader for the GOP?
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tpfkaw
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« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2014, 08:59:53 PM »
The "vast rural areas" here are Democratic voting (also, not "rural" in any meaningful sense). They're more Republican than Boston, but nearly every municipality in the state has a D+ PVI. MA is (obviously) far tougher territory than MI for Repubs.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #2 on: November 05, 2014, 09:08:25 PM »
Massachusetts voted against Nixon ... so it's the right answer, haha.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2014, 09:10:44 PM »
Now, if you asked whether IL or MA is tougher, that might be a more interesting question.
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Rockefeller GOP
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« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2014, 09:30:23 PM »
Quote from: wormyguy on November 05, 2014, 09:10:44 PM
Now, if you asked whether IL or MA is tougher, that might be a more interesting question.

With the suburbs and downstate (with a few exceptions), IL probably has a higher GOP floor, but Massachusetts moderates/moderate liberals seem to have more of a tradition-based affection for moderate Republicans.  Very interesting choice.
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tpfkaw
wormyguy
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« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2014, 09:57:20 PM »
GOP floor in MA: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=25&year=2000&f=0&off=3&elect=0&class=1
GOP ceiling in MA: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=25&year=1994&f=0&off=5&elect=0

GOP floor in IL: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=17&year=2006&f=0&off=9&elect=0
GOP ceiling in IL: https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=17&year=1998&f=0&off=9&elect=0
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hopper
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« Reply #6 on: November 10, 2014, 01:48:50 PM »
Massachusetts is harder for GOP. They haven't won a county in MA in a presidential election since 1988. Bush W. was competitive in MI both in 2000 and 2004 even though he lost the state both years.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #7 on: November 10, 2014, 02:07:16 PM »
Massachusetts.  Why are you asking this?
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Person Man
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« Reply #8 on: November 10, 2014, 03:01:43 PM »
Quote from: HockeyDude on November 10, 2014, 02:07:16 PM
Massachusetts.  Why are you asking this?
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Free Bird
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« Reply #9 on: November 10, 2014, 03:13:04 PM »
Michigan can be won in a wave. Massachusetts would take the democrat eating babies regularly to vote GOP, and even then only maybe
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Illuminati Blood Drinker
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« Reply #10 on: November 10, 2014, 09:28:59 PM »
Quote from: FreedomHawk on November 10, 2014, 03:13:04 PM
Michigan can be won in a wave. Massachusetts would take the democrat eating babies regularly to vote GOP, and even then only maybe
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Mr. Illini
liberty142
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« Reply #11 on: November 12, 2014, 07:02:29 PM »
Massachusetts, hands down.
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TDAS04
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« Reply #12 on: November 13, 2014, 10:06:05 AM »
Massachusetts obviously. 
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