Sabato: Bevy of Gov. close contests as election day nears
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Author Topic: Sabato: Bevy of Gov. close contests as election day nears  (Read 1244 times)
Miles
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« on: October 30, 2014, 11:55:25 AM »
Article.

Final calls coming Monday:
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homelycooking
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2014, 12:02:16 PM »
Great color choice for the "tossup/leans runoff" category, Larry.
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Barnes
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2014, 12:04:41 PM »
Quote from: homelycooking on October 30, 2014, 12:02:16 PM
Great color choice for the "tossup/leans runoff" category, Larry.

I know, right?! Good old Georgia is alone in that regard. Although, by this point I'd say a runoff is almost certain, unless there's some kind of crazy rally to Deal in the last stretch - which I don't see happening. At least not enough to put him over the top.
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Dixie Reborn
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2014, 12:46:54 PM »
RIP Coakley. I speak for both the Democrats and Republicans on this site: we hope we never see you again.
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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2014, 01:00:15 PM »
Quote from: IDS Legislator Dixie on October 30, 2014, 12:46:54 PM
RIP DIE DIE DIE Coakley. I speak for both the Democrats and Republicans on this site: we hope we never see you again.
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SWE
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2014, 02:33:25 PM »
Was he trying to move New Hampshire to Safe D but accidentally gave it the wrong color on the map or something?
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2014, 02:51:27 PM »
Quote from: Speaker SWE on October 30, 2014, 02:33:25 PM
Was he trying to move New Hampshire to Safe D but accidentally gave it the wrong color on the map or something?
No. The polls have tightened so dramatically there over the past month that there is a real, serious chance of a Havenstein win. Even Rothenberg, who has been the most bullish about Hassan among the 'big 3', has just moved the race out of Safe.
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Vega
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2014, 03:02:41 PM »
Quote from: Joshua on October 30, 2014, 01:00:15 PM
Quote from: IDS Legislator Dixie on October 30, 2014, 12:46:54 PM
RIP DIE DIE DIE Coakley. I speak for both the Democrats and Republicans on this site: we hope we never see you again.

That's uncalled for.

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Senate Minority Leader Lord Voldemort
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2014, 03:25:39 PM »
Quote from: MW Rep Vega on October 30, 2014, 03:02:41 PM
Quote from: Joshua on October 30, 2014, 01:00:15 PM
Quote from: IDS Legislator Dixie on October 30, 2014, 12:46:54 PM
RIP DIE DIE DIE Coakley. I speak for both the Democrats and Republicans on this site: we hope we never see you again.

That's uncalled for.



Yeah, it was.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2014, 03:29:33 PM »
Republicans have as much chance of winning Massachusetts as Democrats do of winning Maryland.
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free my dawg
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2014, 03:41:22 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2014, 03:43:29 PM by Sawx, King in the North »
Quote from: Wulfric on October 30, 2014, 02:51:27 PM
Quote from: Speaker SWE on October 30, 2014, 02:33:25 PM
Was he trying to move New Hampshire to Safe D but accidentally gave it the wrong color on the map or something?
The polls have tightened so dramatically there over the past month that there is a real, serious chance of a Havenstein win. Even Rothenberg, who has been the most bullish about Hassan among the 'big 3', has just moved the race out of Safe.

...don't take this the wrong way, but are you special? Honest question.

There is only one reputable pollster that has him even close to a win.
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KCDem
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2014, 06:11:20 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 03:29:33 PM
Republicans have as much chance of winning Massachusetts as Democrats do of winning Maryland.

What drugs are you on?
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IceSpear
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2014, 06:33:08 PM »
Quote from: KCDem on October 30, 2014, 06:11:20 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 03:29:33 PM
Republicans have as much chance of winning Massachusetts as Democrats do of winning Maryland.

What drugs are you on?

Ask Sabato.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2014, 06:35:30 PM »
I'd thought he'd move Illinois to Lean D by now.
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KCDem
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2014, 06:53:23 PM »
Loony Larry strikes again!
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #15 on: October 31, 2014, 05:08:11 PM »
Schauer, Davis, Quinn, Michaud, Wolf, Hick, Hassen, and Raimondo will win.

Scott, Walker, Deal, Hutchinson will win.
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Badger
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2014, 06:31:55 PM »
A bit surprised he's going lean D in CO.
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SPC
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2014, 08:50:06 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 03:29:33 PM
Republicans have as much chance of winning Massachusetts as Democrats do of winning Maryland.

To be fair, at least Hogan leads in his own internal.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2014, 08:54:55 PM »
Quote from: SPC on October 31, 2014, 08:50:06 PM
Quote from: IceSpear on October 30, 2014, 03:29:33 PM
Republicans have as much chance of winning Massachusetts as Democrats do of winning Maryland.

To be fair, at least Hogan leads in his own internal.

Yes, Republican internals are more willing to blatantly lie, as we saw in 2012.
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Adam Griffin
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« Reply #19 on: November 01, 2014, 05:25:31 AM »
I think it's amazing that in this cycle, a majority (23/45) of states have demonstrated some relative and/or temporary tendency to be competitive at some point in either their Senatorial or Gubernatorial race. Also, the dynamic of these states being relatively split (10 conventionally Republican states, 9 conventionally Democratic states and 4 battleground states) makes it even more interesting.

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hurricanehink
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« Reply #20 on: November 01, 2014, 09:16:21 AM »
Quote from: Lowly Griff on November 01, 2014, 05:25:31 AM
I think it's amazing that in this cycle, a majority (23/45) of states have demonstrated some relative and/or temporary tendency to be competitive at some point in either their Senatorial or Gubernatorial race. Also, the dynamic of these states being relatively split (10 conventionally Republican states, 9 conventionally Democratic states and 4 battleground states) makes it even more interesting.



Sorry, but your map is a little off. Several of those states (Washington, North Carolina, Kentucky) don't have elections this cycle. What is the white v purple?
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Barnes
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« Reply #21 on: November 01, 2014, 10:47:24 AM »
Quote from: hurricanehink on November 01, 2014, 09:16:21 AM
Quote from: Lowly Griff on November 01, 2014, 05:25:31 AM
I think it's amazing that in this cycle, a majority (23/45) of states have demonstrated some relative and/or temporary tendency to be competitive at some point in either their Senatorial or Gubernatorial race. Also, the dynamic of these states being relatively split (10 conventionally Republican states, 9 conventionally Democratic states and 4 battleground states) makes it even more interesting.



Sorry, but your map is a little off. Several of those states (Washington, North Carolina, Kentucky) don't have elections this cycle. What is the white v purple?

The map shows competitive races for either Senate and/or Governor.  The white state are those without either a governor's race or senate race.
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hurricanehink
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« Reply #22 on: November 01, 2014, 11:42:54 AM »
Quote from: Barnes on November 01, 2014, 10:47:24 AM
Quote from: hurricanehink on November 01, 2014, 09:16:21 AM
Quote from: Lowly Griff on November 01, 2014, 05:25:31 AM
I think it's amazing that in this cycle, a majority (23/45) of states have demonstrated some relative and/or temporary tendency to be competitive at some point in either their Senatorial or Gubernatorial race. Also, the dynamic of these states being relatively split (10 conventionally Republican states, 9 conventionally Democratic states and 4 battleground states) makes it even more interesting.



Sorry, but your map is a little off. Several of those states (Washington, North Carolina, Kentucky) don't have elections this cycle. What is the white v purple?

The map shows competitive races for either Senate and/or Governor.  The white state are those without either a governor's race or senate race.

Thanks! Great map then.
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