What will happen in the Senate?
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  What will happen in the Senate?
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Question: What will happen?
#1
Republican will gain control
 
#2
Democrats will maintain control
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 57

Author Topic: What will happen in the Senate?  (Read 1194 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: October 30, 2014, 05:46:22 PM »

This will run until election day.

Republicans will gain control.
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Consciously Unconscious
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« Reply #1 on: October 30, 2014, 05:48:32 PM »

Republicans gate control with between 52-54 seats. 
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Flake
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« Reply #2 on: October 30, 2014, 05:51:23 PM »

Democrats with 50 seats. I wouldn't be surprised if Republicans gain the Senate, but certainly disappointed.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #3 on: October 30, 2014, 05:55:18 PM »

Republicans, but it's not a sure bet.
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Maxwell
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« Reply #4 on: October 30, 2014, 05:55:26 PM »

51 or 52 seats for Republicans. I have 53 in my estimate, but I fully expect one of those to go wrong.
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ShamDam
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« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2014, 06:05:46 PM »

Republicans with 52 seats.
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Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #6 on: October 30, 2014, 06:37:45 PM »

Hopefully a tied senate with Nunn or Landrieu winning in OT. But a GOP senate is not a sure bet where Hagen and Shaheen will stop GOP sweep.
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SamInTheSouth
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« Reply #7 on: October 30, 2014, 06:43:32 PM »

Republicans pick up SD, MT, WV, IA, AK, AR, CO, and LA.  Hold KY and GA.  Might lose KS, but with a decisive majority Orman may caucus with them anyway.  Democrats will hold NC and NH.

I also suspect there will be a surprise outcome or two Tuesday night.
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Free Bird
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« Reply #8 on: October 30, 2014, 06:47:38 PM »

Hopefully a tied senate with Nunn or Landrieu winning in OT. But a GOP senate is not a sure bet where Hagen and Shaheen will stop GOP sweep.

Laundrieu is done, and an Orman win would cancel out Nunn making it if the bare minimum of 6 is met with other races.
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KCDem
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« Reply #9 on: October 30, 2014, 06:54:18 PM »

Democrats win 50 seats and retain control. Orman then decides how to caucus. LA and GA go to runoff.
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RR1997
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« Reply #10 on: October 30, 2014, 07:45:38 PM »

GOP gains control.
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SNJ1985
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« Reply #11 on: October 30, 2014, 08:03:03 PM »

Republicans pick up SD, MT, WV, IA, AK, AR, CO, and LA.  Hold KY and GA.  Might lose KS, but with a decisive majority Orman may caucus with them anyway.  Democrats will hold NC and NH.

This is exactly what I'm predicting; though it very well might not happen. If I had to pick which one of those 8 GOP pickups has the best chance of not happening, I'd go with either Alaska or Colorado.
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Mr. Reactionary
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« Reply #12 on: October 30, 2014, 10:05:02 PM »

Republicans pick up SD, MT, WV, IA, AK, AR, CO, and LA.  Hold KY and GA.  Might lose KS, but with a decisive majority Orman may caucus with them anyway.  Democrats will hold NC and NH.

I also suspect there will be a surprise outcome or two Tuesday night.
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Boston Bread
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« Reply #13 on: October 30, 2014, 10:10:59 PM »

I'm going to say MT, WV, AR, SD, KS change hands on election day. LA, GA go to runoffs where republicans are slightly favoured. Narrow holds in IA, CO, NC, NH keep the senate in democratic hands for a net change of R+4.
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Frodo
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« Reply #14 on: October 30, 2014, 11:54:23 PM »
« Edited: October 30, 2014, 11:57:32 PM by Frodo »

GOP wins, of course.  And I am standing by my earlier prediction -though perhaps slightly more bullish on Virginia (Warner wins by single digits regardless, though):
 
Ultimately they will come out in the end with around 55 seats -maybe even 56.  The GOP will hold on to Georgia, Mississippi, Kentucky, Kansas, and South Dakota (while they are tantalizing, I am not buying those polls showing Democrats/independents in the lead in any of those states), and will pick up West Virginia, Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina whether on election day, or in the subsequent run-offs, depending on the state.  A lot of these will be close, and down to the wire nail biters, but I think the GOP will ultimately pull it off.  Virginia will get even closer too as election day approaches, and with Sen. Mark Warner needlessly meddling into state politics, he will find himself winning by 5 points -possibly less.

So that's 54 seats right there.  And with Angus King and Joe Manchin either switching parties outright, or simply caucusing with the GOP, that brings their governing total to 56.  

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Bigby
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« Reply #15 on: October 30, 2014, 11:56:26 PM »

The Republicans will have 52 - 54 seats. It mostly depends on if Nunn and Landrieu win their runoffs and also if Orman wins or not.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #16 on: October 31, 2014, 12:04:03 AM »

GOP wins, of course.  And I am standing by my earlier prediction -though perhaps slightly more bullish on Virginia (Warner wins by single digits regardless, though):
 
Ultimately they will come out in the end with around 55 seats -maybe even 56.  The GOP will hold on to Georgia, Mississippi, Kentucky, Kansas, and South Dakota (while they are tantalizing, I am not buying those polls showing Democrats/independents in the lead in any of those states), and will pick up West Virginia, Alaska, Colorado, Iowa, Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina whether on election day, or in the subsequent run-offs, depending on the state.  A lot of these will be close, and down to the wire nail biters, but I think the GOP will ultimately pull it off.  Virginia will get even closer too as election day approaches, and with Sen. Mark Warner needlessly meddling into state politics, he will find himself winning by 5 points -possibly less.

So that's 54 seats right there.  And with Angus King and Joe Manchin either switching parties outright, or simply caucusing with the GOP, that brings their governing total to 56.  



That's f'ing miserable Frodo.
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« Reply #17 on: October 31, 2014, 12:19:09 AM »

I think 51 Republicans is the most likely. Note that I'm not counting Orman if he wins and caucuses with the Republicans.
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Kushahontas
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« Reply #18 on: October 31, 2014, 08:04:08 AM »

Why would Orman caucus with them? Didn't Reince himself say that Orman wouldn't be welcomed?
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Free Bird
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« Reply #19 on: October 31, 2014, 08:20:34 AM »

I think 51 Republicans is the most likely. Note that I'm not counting Orman if he wins and caucuses with the Republicans.

If there's 51, he has promised to
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ag
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« Reply #20 on: October 31, 2014, 08:55:50 PM »

At this point, preponderance of evidence says it will be the Republicans.
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