2014 US Congressional Election Results

[Maxwell]

100% in in HI-01, and Takai won 52-48. Knew this one would be very close.

Damn, I hoped fourth's time a charm

That said, Takai was better on foreign policy, so I'm not too upset.

AZ-2 is the toss-upest race of toss-up races, wow. and, yeah, Kirkpatrick is gonna win.

Elan Carr is doing a very solid job in CA-33, 42% in a D+12 district. That being said, it is 2014, so he probably can't replicate or improve the performance.

[Boston Bread]

It seems like Democrats are still winning most of the closest house and governor races. Strange.

[Senator Cris]

NC Exit Poll: Hagan up 49-46

[IceSpear]

One bright spot: Ashford has extended his lead over Lee Terry, now leading 49-46 with 85% in.

[cinyc]

All in but the absentee/early vote in Alaska:

UNITED STATES SENATOR       
      Total
Number of Precincts       441    
Precincts Reporting       441    100.0%
Times Counted       228242/509011    44.8%
Total Votes       226120    
Begich, Mark    DEM    102054    45.13%
Fish, Mark S.    LIB    8358    3.70%
Gianoutsos, Ted    NA    4491    1.99%
Sullivan, Dan    REP    110203    48.74%
Write-in Votes      1014    0.45%

Sullivan +3.61

[Maxwell]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

[Keystone Phil]

CNN just reported unofficial numbers with 100% of precincts reporting: Sullivan wins by nearly 3%.

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

Deja vu of 2010, where people assumed he lost, but he didn't.

[Maxwell]

And Don Young, eternal congressman, will never lose. Even with that whole suicide controversy going on he wins 52-41, and by two years from now voters will forget.

[Holmes]

And Don Young, eternal congressman, will never lose. Even with that whole suicide controversy going on he wins 52-41, and by two years from now voters will forget.

Eh, Republicans could have run Child Rapist (R) anywhere in the country tonight and still won.

[cinyc]

The current Alaska margin is 48.74%-45.13% Sullivan.  Sullivan won the election day vote by a slightly better 49.06%-44.41%.  He won the absentees in so far by even more - 51.73%-44.78%.  Note, however, that this doesn't include any absentees from the Bush, Kenai or most of the Southeast.  He lost the early vote so far 43.86%-52.59%.

Given these percentages, even with a potential 35,000 votes outstanding, I doubt there's enough left for Beigich to win this.

[Keystone Phil]

I want to apologize to the Forum: I said McConnell would win by 6-8%. He won by 15%.

[Vosem]

Well, I just woke up. There've been no calls, but Ashford, Delaney, and Poliquin have won. There was a call for Hardy, which bumped Republicans up to R+13. There was no call for Kirkpatrick. With 75% in AZ-2, McSally leads by 36 votes; that one could still go either way. With most CA races at 100%, it's still a net R+2 with Ose/Tacherra/DeMaio picking up seats as does Aguilar. If absentee ballots break heavily D, Tacherra and DeMaio both won with under 1,000-vote margins; Ose looks safer at 51.6-48.4. If they break R, Brownley's margin right now is 530 votes.

When the Eastern races are called, there'll be no shift. If the leaders in AZ/CA stay the same, the final pickup would be R+16, but I think Ds can expect one or two races to shift back to them. Dan Newhouse, Mike Honda, and Steve Knight won the intraparty battles.

[Sbane]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

The fat lady hasn't sung yet, and likely won't. Yay Fresno!

[Maxwell]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

The fat lady hasn't sung yet, and likely won't. Yay Fresno!

Is the stuff that's still out in Costa's favor? I didn't know

Nah wait sbane, 100% of precincts are in, and Costa is down 49-51.

[Beagle]

Dan Newhouse, Mike Honda, and Steve Knight won the intraparty battles.

I'm seeing Newhouse ahead by 3000 votes with more than half the district still out, is there an update that makes you certain that he'll win?

[Sbane]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

The fat lady hasn't sung yet, and likely won't. Yay Fresno!

Is the stuff that's still out in Costa's favor? I didn't know

Nah wait sbane, 100% of precincts are in, and Costa is down 49-51.

Oh, trust me there is a lot. Especially in poor, hispanic heavy inner city Fresno. I think Costa was in an even worse shape in 2010. I wouldn't be surprised if he won by more than 2-3 points. From what I can see the state hasn't released an unprocessed ballot report yet. Keep an eye on that.

[KCDem]

Yeah there's always tons of D-leaning vote in California. Bera, Costa, and Peters probably pull it out.

Little consolation, though. Freaking bloodbath.

[J. J.]

What House seats are still out?

I think in PA, you can drive from City Avenue in Philadelphia to the Allegheny County line, and never enter a Democratic US House District. 

[sg0508]

The GOP has to be a bit disappointed with HI-1.  This was their real shot to find another star in HI for the future and they lost it.

[Maxwell]

The GOP has to be a bit disappointed with HI-1.  This was their real shot to find another star in HI for the future and they lost it.

I'm sure they're fine coming within 4 of a D+18 district.

[°Leprechaun]

I was way off on my prediction of a 50-50 Senate, of course. I only predicted Democratic victories in states that were very close, however. What, if anything, surprised you about yesterday? I think, in spite of my prediction, that things went the way the polls predicted for the most part.

[Torie]

Well, looking at the NYT House map (great utility that, but notice if you look at the NYT front page today, just how bitchy that "pinko rag" is about the Pub sweep, aka "anger sweeps the land, as the Pubs cash in on hate" as it were?), the Pubs have picked up 13 seats, and will win WA-04, CA-07, ME-02 and the two LA runoff seats, netting an 18 seat gain in the House. The Dems pick up ground as the votes are counted over the ensuing weeks in CA, so the Dems are going to hold CA-52 most probably , along with CA-16 and CA-26. And Barber will hold on in AZ-02, which is kind of a surprise to me, because McSally was an excellent candidate. I suspect Kirkpatrick did so well in AZ-01 due to a heavy Native American vote, which she cultivated assiduously. Good for her!

All a most surprising outcome - a near Pub wave, which as per usual peters out as one gets near the left coast. Well, perhaps not totally surprising to some (hi there Lief), but I digress.

[Boston Bread]

Funny that despite my underestimate of republican pick-ups, the three pick-ups I predicted for dems: FL-02, NE-02, CA-31 will have turned out to be barely right! I'm still seeing 247 R seats in total after counting finishes in CA.

[Filuwaúrdjan]

If anyone wishes to find a silver lining to clutch to pathetically, MN-8 is a genuine relief. That was one of the worst moments of 2010.