2014 US Congressional Election Results

[Beagle]

Anybody know what percentage of Milwaukee is in? Right now, Wisconsin looks great for the Republicans up and down the ballot.

[Beagle]

When the dust settles it will be fun to do a full analysis of polling in this election.  

Eh, there is a tendency to exaggerate how much polls suck after wave elections, but on the whole I see 2-3 (VA Sen, CO Sen and WI Gov) statewide races out of the top 20 where the result of vote is outside the margin of error. Not bad at all, considering there were 30-ish heavily polled races. The only thing that should probably die a quick death is "unskewing" polls.

[Beagle]

This is more thinking out loud than expecting a response, but:

Would MD Gov be where it is right now if Gansler was the nominee?

[Beagle]

read daily kos is a pleasure now...

I made the mistake of going into the comments, forgetting that this is not DKE, but rather regular Kos. I strongly advise against that.

[Beagle]

Democratic WTF bright spot: with 88% reporting, Doug Owens is leading Mia Love in UT-4...by a margin of 52-45.

Cough, <curseofCain>, cough...

[Beagle]

So, who gets the second Solomon Ortiz Memorial Award for being caught sleeping this time around? Delaney? There are a lot who are in close races and the size of Maffei's loss is certainly unexpected, but I think that MD-6 is the only one in the loss column that Dems were not worried about.

[Beagle]

Can Gillespie make up for Warner's advantage with military absentee ballots?

No. No Virginia election in the recent years hasn't gone without a close vote and no Virginia election* did not see the Dems pick up at least 0.3% on absentees, including the military.

* Well, other than Deeds. But still, we've been here before, Warner will be fine.

[Beagle]

Considering the size of the wave, Gary Peters must really be an amazing retail politician. He's currently running ahead of Franken and Durbin (!) in the margins.

[Beagle]

Dan Newhouse, Mike Honda, and Steve Knight won the intraparty battles.

I'm seeing Newhouse ahead by 3000 votes with more than half the district still out, is there an update that makes you certain that he'll win?