2014 US Congressional Election Results

[Torie]

Brett Hume on Fox News says Gillespie in VA has an internal poll that came out this morning showing him up 1% against Warner in VA. Let the fun begin!

[Torie]

Looking at the scattered county returns, KY will very probably be called as soon as the balance of the polls close in 25 minutes. It won't be very close.

[Torie]

McConnell, of course, wins, though, I would wait at least for some Louisville and Lexington numbers to call it officially. The question is, how big the margin.

It will be around an 8-10 point victory for Mitch, something around 54% to 55%. 

[Torie]

If these numbers are representative of the county as a whole ...



It looks like the Dems are going to have a very, very long night.

[Torie]

First it was 3% in, now 8%. No change in the numbers yet.  Warner had better hope there will be.



In other news, the Pub in VA-10 in NOVA is trashing the Dem so far in early vote numbers.

[Torie]

First it was 3% in, now 8%. No change in the numbers yet.  Warner had better hope there will be.

You are aware that the rural west of the county reports first, right?

No.

[Torie]

Warner in early returns  is not doing very well in NOVA - at all. Gillespie is winning Prince William county too with about 13% in.

[Torie]

Looks very ominous for the Dems in the House based on early returns. The Dems got good news with Murphy in Florida (the guy who beat that black conservative former military officer, whose name escapes me at the moment), and may nab FL-02, but other than that, it looks bad. Dold has a small lead in !L-10. Garcia looks to be losing in Florida. Comstock is romping to victory in VA-10, part of what appears to be some sort of Pub NOVA resurgence, etc.

[Torie]

Wow is Barrow going down?

Yup, along with Rahall in WV. The last blue dogs are gone, other than Peterson in MN-07 if he survives.

[Torie]

This  sums up why it looks bad for the Dems. The pathetic Terry in Nebraska also seems to be prevailing. It will be interesting what NY-24 looks like in a bit, where the Dems in NY may lose 4 seats.

[Torie]

Haha net gain of D+1 in the house so far.
Edit: on huffpo

Which seat did the Democrats win?

Looks like they bagged FL-02 (may be the only seat they get from the Pubs other than CA-31). But it looks like they are dropping FL-26.

The odds are getting increasingly high that my estimate of R +12 in the House was low, maybe rather considerably low.

[Torie]

I think Warner will hold on. He's down by 6,000 votes now.

Yup, odds are that he will. NOVA percentage numbers moved just enough more Dem to make it more likely than not now.

[Torie]

70% in IL-10; Dold is leading 53-47. 48% in IL-12; Bost leads 53-40

Yes, the Dems dropped two seats in Illinois, with IL-12 being slaughter alley. So far, they are losing next to everything that was not nailed down, making FL-02 a very odd duck.

[Torie]

The bleeding just seems unrelenting. Of course, the Dems are losing NY-21 in a landslide.

[Torie]

I'm tired of Torie posting screencaps of races with only 2% in and acting all SHOCKED! at the results. We get it, man. The results are CRAZY! when only a small amount of ballots have been counted.

Yes, but in general they tend to hold, plus or minus a bit. They eroded in favor of the Dem in NOVA by about 3 points, and thus Warner may pull it out. It just suggests, well a problem.

[Torie]

Torie should be banned for his 2% trolling. Nobody with a healthy mind could be that dense. It's either deliberate or Alzheimer's.

Hi Memphis!

[Torie]

Here is another "trolling" screen shot for you, Memphis. R +10 seems low to me. We shall see.

[Torie]

Thanks Memphis. And here is another one for you. Maybe I can find a screen shot with just one vote counted.

[Torie]

Oh my!  Yes, I know, the final numbers will not look like this. But the Dems are going to be slaughtered in Upstate NY.

[Torie]

Another problem area for the Dems. But the Dem moves ahead a couple of points in NY-18 with about 20% in, and the Dem moves ahead of Terry in Nebraska with about the same percentage in. So on balance a good 20 minutes for the Dems vis a vis the House count.

Oh, and Fox call KS for Roberts. So Iowa should wrap it up tonight for the Senate.

[Torie]

With 3% in, Luz Robles and Doug Owens are both winning in Utah

Hear that, Torie?

Haven't got that far west yet. Still pondering Rochester. That puppy is just amazing. But the precincts are variegated in Rochester, so no clue how that one will turn out.

[Torie]

Tillis wins NC per Fox News.

Mahoney in NY-18 must be a very talented politician (who may win and is ahead as Vosem says), since otherwise NY has been a Dem disaster.

[Torie]

This I submit is the most unbelievable result in the nation - a district Obama won by 56%, and it is not as if the Dem incumbent is horribly incompetent, or a crook, or caught sleeping with some teenage boy, etc. In fact, given the NY-11 result, being a crook is not fatal, so I guess that aspect of Maffei is not relevant.

[Torie]

When it rains, it pours. However, Terry is still sucking wind in Nebraska. Hopefully that loser will lose.

[Torie]

Oh, Ernst is from Red Oak, Iowa, which was the town my grandfather grew up in. Small world.