2014 US Congressional Election Results (user search)
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  2014 US Congressional Election Results (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2014 US Congressional Election Results  (Read 188101 times)
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« on: November 04, 2014, 10:46:49 PM »

New Hampshire 2014 is now our Florida 2000....  

Her 0.4% lead is a blowout landslide compared to Florida 2000.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2014, 10:51:05 PM »

Bishop concedes NY-1, Rice down in NY-4

That judge drew a crappy map for Democrats.



Louise Slaughter, who's been in office since the '80s, is behind with 90% reporting in her district. Damn. The Democrats might lose half a dozen Congressional seats in New York alone.

However, if this one flips, it's Slaughter underperforming. I think she wins in the end.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2014, 11:02:16 PM »


Well no sh**t, what reason have the Democrats given to have Democrats turn out? They've been absolutely pathetic at standing up to the GOP.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #3 on: November 05, 2014, 12:11:10 AM »

Democratic WTF bright spot: with 88% reporting, Doug Owens is leading Mia Love in UT-4...by a margin of 52-45.

That should count as an honorary pickup for the Democrats if they win, despite it technically not being a pickup.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #4 on: November 05, 2014, 12:42:31 AM »

Maffei did the tried and true tactic of having a typical Blue Dog voting record, and then losing a D+5 district by 18 points. Good riddance to that worthless trash.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #5 on: November 05, 2014, 12:49:20 AM »

Maffei did the tried and true tactic of having a typical Blue Dog voting record, and then losing a D+5 district by 18 points. Good riddance to that worthless trash.

That's the big silver lining here.  Enough with the Blue Dogs and their pandering to the right.  Be gone with ye!

It's like they never learned from all the other worthless Blue Dogs losing.
Meanwhile reasonably liberal Yarmuth wins a D+4 district by 28 points.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #6 on: November 05, 2014, 01:01:56 AM »

Looks like Pryor will win get less than 40%. So maybe he is Blanche Lincoln Tongue

Wow, the polls were off there. It had been considered competitive until recently, and still it seemed like he was going to lose by high single digits. I'm think Arkansas may be unwinnable for the Democrats. And yes, that includes Hillary.


It's pretty amazing that Shaheen and Gwen Graham were able to survive this wave.

Doug Owens would be impressive if he wins.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #7 on: November 05, 2014, 01:02:51 AM »

Sullivan up 49-46 in exit poll. Sad I think it's R+8 tonight, with LA being a likely 9th next month.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #8 on: November 05, 2014, 01:35:10 AM »

In the HOUSE GOP is on course to a new record: 1946 uhey had 246...
We know what happened next...

They had 267 for the 1929-1930 Congress. Naturally the economy did awesome with them that much in control.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #9 on: November 05, 2014, 01:52:22 AM »

Begich not improving. Suggests that current results aren't missing the bush vote. If so Begich has lost.

Wouldn't the rural vote come in much later though? Since it would take a while to be received?

He's still got a chance, heck probably a better chance than Landreiu, but not looking good.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #10 on: November 05, 2014, 02:08:02 AM »

It seems like the west cost is a natural anti-wave barrier for democrats. It wasn't like that in 1994.
Edit: Is Begich losing for sure? Can't tell.
Edit: Back to R+6 on CNN. Not getting my hopes up.

Bera and Costa are trailing here in California, but they were always going to have tight races, like they have before. I think the Democrats lose their 2/3rds majority in the CA State Senate, but that's probably more because they only had it in the first place because of luck of which seats were up in 2012, thanks to some double representation from the 2010 seats after redistricting.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #11 on: November 05, 2014, 02:33:07 AM »

Vosem, I doubt California will be worse than R+2 and even that is being charitable to the Republicans. Costa will not lose because Fresno doesn't count its vote till late. Brownley, Bera and Peters are in a bit of trouble though. Aguilar should pull it out as well.

None of the close races in California will be called any time soon. Here are the close ones, and there could still be others not on this list that could flip.
http://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/close-contests/
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #12 on: November 05, 2014, 03:02:52 AM »

What in the world is going on in CA-16? Its D+8!

Turns out a district sandwiched between CA-10 and CA-21 gives Democrats the same problem that they suffer there. Latino turnout is abysmal.

Also Jim Costa, like Dan Maffei, is an unneeded Blue Dog who clung to the middle so closely that he has pleased no one. He's also a massive energy company shill, so good riddance if he loses.

At this point, the Democrats have lost so much that losing Costa is all positive to me.

California turnout among votes counted on election day is always abysmal.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #13 on: November 05, 2014, 05:19:24 AM »

I just realised something  - this is the first election since the rise of the Tea Party to not feature at least one Republican "giveaway" for being too conservative. Was there even a clear example in the House?

Guys, being too conservative didn't stop Johnson from winning in WI in 2010, Toomey from winning in PA in 2010, or Ernst from winning in IA in 2014. It's about time the Democrats learned that they'd do better if they ran candidates who actually stood for something. The Democratic leadership currently gets a grade of F-.
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jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #14 on: November 05, 2014, 06:06:39 AM »


Deja vu of 2010, where people assumed he lost, but he didn't.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2014, 03:12:25 PM »

I'm glad Terry is conceding. Let us have our 2nd pickup.

Obama still has his magic in NE-02? LOL.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #16 on: November 05, 2014, 11:28:51 PM »


I'm not sure that the Onion is a satire site any more.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #17 on: November 10, 2014, 01:39:56 AM »

Well, we got Maffei by 20 points. That was good enough for me, even if getting Slaughter as well would have been even better... I wonder if Maggie Brooks would have won in a midterm or if the under the radar nature of Assini's campaign was what helped him get so close to such a massive upset.

LOL, I'm fine with conservadems losing D+5 districts by 20 points. A real Democrat will win next time. I'm glad Slaughter survived.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #18 on: November 11, 2014, 04:48:28 PM »

Looks like we lost all the most Republican leaning districts. UT-4 (R+16), WV-3 (R+14) NC-7 (R+12) and GA-12 (R+9) The most Republican seat the Dems hold is now MN-7 which is R+6. I'll skip passing a value judgement on that, but it makes sense. Why would Republican voters vote for a Democrat or vice versa?

The Democrats did pick up FL-02, which is R+6.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 53,740


Political Matrix
E: -7.38, S: -8.36

« Reply #19 on: December 24, 2014, 02:46:27 PM »
« Edited: December 24, 2014, 02:52:19 PM by ○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└ »

Imagine a close result: "well, we had said you officially won, but now we say you officially lost!"

It happened in the 1960 Hawaii Presidential election. The Nixon electors were certified. They were replaced with Kennedy electors on January 4th, which the Supreme Court decided to ignore when they appointed Bush President after the recount didn't finish by a bogus December 12th deadline after the Supreme Court stopped the recount.
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