2014 US Congressional Election Results

[Maxwell]

Junk election!

I think I finally understand you.

[Maxwell]

Exit Polls - Gardner up by 3, Beauprez down 2. Sounds right to me, though the distance between the two is interesting.

[Maxwell]

Per CNN, Warner starting to run out of votes in northern VA.  My goodness.  He may hang on, but wow, this is brutal.

POLITICO TOLD YOU!!!! POLITICO TOLD YOU!!!!!

[Maxwell]

R.I.P. John Barrow. This is a bad night for Democrats.

At 70%, Dold leads 53-47. Things are looking good for him.

[Maxwell]

Am I crazy? Scott Brown is only down 2 in New Hampshire. May they undo their call? Or do I not know something about New Hampshire politics.

[Maxwell]

CNN exit poll is roughly 51-47 Ernst.

Ouch!

And I fully admit to being wrong about John Barrow and Mark WArner because I, unlike some on this forum, do not profess to be an elections expert. Barrow's loss makes me sad because his opponent seems overly religious.

[Maxwell]

Looks like my slavery to the polls has made a bitch out of me

[Maxwell]

CNN about to call Colorado for Gardner.  Magic number down to 1...

About expected. R.I.P. Senator Udall

[Maxwell]

Either Gillespie goes for Virginia Governor or he works to beat Tim Kaine in 2018.

[Maxwell]

     More votes come in and the margin remains roughly the same. Looking pretty grim for Begich.

The Evil Ones gain another member of their America Asssassination Squad.

Golly, you guys should be in dramatic theater!

[Maxwell]

100% in in HI-01, and Takai won 52-48. Knew this one would be very close.

Damn, I hoped fourth's time a charm

That said, Takai was better on foreign policy, so I'm not too upset.

AZ-2 is the toss-upest race of toss-up races, wow. and, yeah, Kirkpatrick is gonna win.

Elan Carr is doing a very solid job in CA-33, 42% in a D+12 district. That being said, it is 2014, so he probably can't replicate or improve the performance.

[Maxwell]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

[Maxwell]

And Don Young, eternal congressman, will never lose. Even with that whole suicide controversy going on he wins 52-41, and by two years from now voters will forget.

[Maxwell]

Also, Costa lost in a D+7 district. Fail.

The fat lady hasn't sung yet, and likely won't. Yay Fresno!

Is the stuff that's still out in Costa's favor? I didn't know

Nah wait sbane, 100% of precincts are in, and Costa is down 49-51.

[Maxwell]

The GOP has to be a bit disappointed with HI-1.  This was their real shot to find another star in HI for the future and they lost it.

I'm sure they're fine coming within 4 of a D+18 district.

[Maxwell]

Compared to some of his other colleagues, Booker performed rather solidly (Franken, Durbin, T. Udall). Looks like he's no longer "underperformin Cory"

[Maxwell]

I still think Tacherra actually has a shot at this, but we'll see. And if he does, wow, he's very conservative (mentioned "biblical values" and "constitutional purity" in his video). Costa really blew it. Even if Costa wins, he blew it harder than most D+8 Congressmen.

[Maxwell]

Tobin is a bore, and I think McSally is pretty overrated.

[Maxwell]

My guess is the US house will be 246-248 R, 188-87 D.  It will either tie or break the post World War II numbers. 

This means 12-15 net pickups, with 3 for the Dems and 15-18 for the GOP.

Pick-ups

Dem

CA-31 (open)
FL-2 (Southerland)
NE-2 (Terry)

GOP

NV-4 (Horsford)
TX-23 (Gallego)
NH-1 (Shea-Porter)
ME-2 (open)
IA-1 (open)
UT-4 (open)
WV-3 (Rahall)
GA-12 (Barrow)
NC-7 (open)
IL-10 (Schneider)
IL-12 (Enyart)
NY-1 (Bishop)
NY-21 (open)
NY-24 (Maffei)
FL-26 (Garcia)

Where else am I missing? Which of these has the highest D-PVI?

Schneider is D+8. I don't think that is topped anywhere.

[Maxwell]

50 000 ballots need to be counted in Alaska
Considering Sullivan has a 8000 votes lead, Begich would have to win 58% of these ballots: impossible.

Yea Begich probably should've just conceded, but I suppose it doesn't really matter.

[Maxwell]

The fact that Inhofe did better than Lankford, even if only incrementally, is a disgrace.

They're both fundamentally awful.

[Maxwell]

The fact that Inhofe did better than Lankford, even if only incrementally, is a disgrace.

Why? Inhofe is a great statesman.

I hope you're trolling.

[Maxwell]

Early vote has it 58.2-41.8 Cassidy, 77-23 Abraham, 73-27 Graves.

JESUS CHRIST.

Also, she went a conservative radio show earlier and said "I did not vote for Obama". That is hilarious.