2014 US Gubernatorial Election Results
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 01:58:15 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Gubernatorial/State Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  2014 US Gubernatorial Election Results		 « previous next »
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 19
Author Topic: 2014 US Gubernatorial Election Results  (Read 34283 times)
Joe Republic
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 40,083
Ukraine


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: November 01, 2014, 02:01:49 PM »
You can also discuss other important statewide races and ballot initiatives here, e.g. Agriculture Commissioner, State Coroner, Guardsman of the Privy Purse, Assembly District 61, State Bird Proposition #12, etc.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: November 04, 2014, 12:14:25 PM »
« Edited: November 04, 2014, 12:16:36 PM by Wulfric »
For those interested, I am posting a map of each state's counting bias (i.e. who the early precincts tend to favor) . This is from analysis of 2008-12 election night coverage. It is not foolproof, it is always possible that a state will change how it counts all of the sudden and as you can see, there are some states where there is either an unclear one or apparently none at all. Also, these biases vary in strength - Georgia's is very bad for instance, but Massachusetts has only a slight bias. But, here you go:
Logged
Eraserhead
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,486
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: November 04, 2014, 02:08:27 PM »
Nice work, Wulfric.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: November 04, 2014, 04:46:56 PM »

Emphasized. Thank you! If, for example, Walker is only pulling a 4 point lead in the early votes, he's probably in trouble.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,718
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: November 04, 2014, 04:51:58 PM »
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 04, 2014, 04:46:56 PM

Emphasized. Thank you! If, for example, Walker is only pulling a 4 point lead in the early votes, he's probably in trouble.
Exactly.

For an idea of that bias's strength, Romney was ahead 53-46 at 13% in WI 2012, but ended up losing 53-46 at night's end.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: November 04, 2014, 05:17:38 PM »
Quote from: Wulfric on November 04, 2014, 04:51:58 PM
Quote from: ElectionsGuy on November 04, 2014, 04:46:56 PM

Emphasized. Thank you! If, for example, Walker is only pulling a 4 point lead in the early votes, he's probably in trouble.
Exactly.

For an idea of that bias's strength, Romney was ahead 53-46 at 13% in WI 2012, but ended up losing 53-46 at night's end.

Oh wow, I guess that's more than I expected. Milwaukee suburbs must report earlier.
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: November 04, 2014, 07:02:55 PM »
Haley wins.

Too early to call in Vermont.

Too early to call in Georgia.
Logged
Oldiesfreak1854
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 13,674
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: November 04, 2014, 07:14:03 PM »
Quote from: KCDem on November 04, 2014, 07:02:55 PM
Too early to call in Vermont.

Too early to call in Georgia.
And it's based all on exit polls.

Two words: President Kerry.
Logged
RR1997
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,997
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: November 04, 2014, 07:14:15 PM »
Fox has called South Carolina for Haley.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: November 04, 2014, 07:15:32 PM »
Haley wins. Potential 2016 veep or 2020's presidential candidate.
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: November 04, 2014, 07:17:34 PM »
Listen...don't crucify me; I'm just passing along what I heard from a campaign source. This is not what I'm saying I believe will happen.

They're mobilizing for a recount here.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 04, 2014, 07:19:02 PM »
Crist 55-40 with 22% in. Mostly early vote.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 04, 2014, 07:19:03 PM »
What year is it gonna be before journos can mention Florida without mentioning 2000 in the same statement?
Logged
Simfan34
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,744
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.90, S: 4.17

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 04, 2014, 07:19:52 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on November 04, 2014, 07:17:34 PM
Listen...don't crucify me; I'm just passing along what I heard from a campaign source. This is not what I'm saying I believe will happen.

They're mobilizing for a recount here.

In PA?
Logged
Wake Me Up When The Hard Border Ends
Anton Kreitzer
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,167
Australia


Political Matrix
E: 8.00, S: 3.11

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2014, 07:20:58 PM »
Quote from: You kip if you want to... on November 04, 2014, 07:19:03 PM
What year is it gonna be before journos can mention Florida without mentioning 2000 in the same statement?

Maybe next decade? Who knows... On another note, what journalist/network mentioned FL 2000?
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 04, 2014, 07:21:07 PM »
Quote from: Keystone Phil on November 04, 2014, 07:17:34 PM
Listen...don't crucify me; I'm just passing along what I heard from a campaign source. This is not what I'm saying I believe will happen.

They're mobilizing for a recount here.



LOLOLOLOLOLOL
Logged
Keystone Phil
Atlas Institution
*****
Posts: 52,607


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #16 on: November 04, 2014, 07:24:13 PM »
Quote from: Governor Varavour on November 04, 2014, 07:19:52 PM
Quote from: Keystone Phil on November 04, 2014, 07:17:34 PM
Listen...don't crucify me; I'm just passing along what I heard from a campaign source. This is not what I'm saying I believe will happen.

They're mobilizing for a recount here.

In PA?

Here as in PA, yes. Again, just what a campaign official told me. I rolled my eyes as well but I figured I'd pass it along. Wink
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #17 on: November 04, 2014, 07:29:40 PM »
Quote from: Anton Kreitzer on November 04, 2014, 07:20:58 PM
Quote from: You kip if you want to... on November 04, 2014, 07:19:03 PM
What year is it gonna be before journos can mention Florida without mentioning 2000 in the same statement?

Maybe next decade? Who knows... On another note, what journalist/network mentioned FL 2000?

CNN, of course.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #18 on: November 04, 2014, 07:31:44 PM »
John Kasich has won
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #19 on: November 04, 2014, 07:32:38 PM »
Kasich wins LOL
Logged
KCDem
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,928


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #20 on: November 04, 2014, 07:36:26 PM »
Exit poll in SC:

Sheheen 44
Haley 54

Underperforming again Tongue

GA:

Deal 49
Carter 47
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,106
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #21 on: November 04, 2014, 07:36:34 PM »
Yep, Crist down to 50-45% lead with 8% in.
Logged
RR1997
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,997
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #22 on: November 04, 2014, 07:39:13 PM »
Where is Adam when you need him?
Logged
Zanas
Zanas46
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 2,947
France


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #23 on: November 04, 2014, 07:41:15 PM »
Crist now at 49-46, with 42% in. Any chance someone knows if it's good news or bad news for him ?
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,940
United Kingdom
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #24 on: November 04, 2014, 07:42:27 PM »
I think Crist's gonna run decently ahead of 2012 Obama.

Personally, I remember thinking Romney was gonna win it until I woke up the next day and it was still TCTC. What's in so far is pretty good.
Logged
Pages: [1] 2 3 4 5 6 ... 19  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.049 seconds with 12 queries.