GA-InsiderAdvantage: Deal+2

[Tender Branson]

In the governor’s contest, Republican incumbent Nathan Deal has 47 percent, Democrat Jason Carter with 44 percent and Libertarian Andrew Hunt with 5. There are 4 percent undecided in this race, too.

The survey was conducted of 1,463 likely voters and has a 3 percent margin of error. It was conducted by automated recordings on Sunday night.

http://chronicle.augusta.com/politics/2014-11-03/runoffs-likely-poll-indicates

[The Other Castro]

As long as Hunt stays above 4.5%, this one looks to be going to a runoff

[Recalcuate]

As long as Hunt stays above 4.5%, this one looks to be going to a runoff

If history is any indication, it's unlikely Hunt will do that. The last libertarian to run was an NAACP county chair and finished with 4%. It was the only time a libertarian finished with over 100,000 votes in a state-wide Georgia race.

3-4% is more realistic for libertarians in Georgia governors races, although Hunt has been a decent candidate as far as Ls go.

It's probably about 50/50 the governor's race goes to a runoff though.