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| | | |-+  NC-Harper (R): Tillis in charge
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Author Topic: NC-Harper (R): Tillis in charge  (Read 2866 times)
Tender Branson
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« on: November 03, 2014, 11:19:28 am »
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46-44-6 Tillis/Hagan/Haugh

48-45 Tillis/Hagan

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METHODOLOGY:

The sample size for the survey is 511 likely voters and the margin of error is +/-4.34%. The Interactive Voice Response (IVR) automated telephone survey was conducted October 2830, 2014 by Harper Polling.  The total percentages for responses may not equal 100% due to rounding.

http://www.harperpolling.com/polls/north-carolina-senate-poll-21422298
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JRP1994
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« Reply #1 on: November 03, 2014, 11:20:06 am »
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Between this and PPP/CFAP, this is looking like a dead-heat.
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Miles
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« Reply #2 on: November 03, 2014, 11:23:02 am »
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>Harper
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Recalcuate
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« Reply #3 on: November 03, 2014, 11:27:29 am »
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Between this and PPP/CFAP, this is looking like a dead-heat.

Hagan's pretty much had the lead in every poll except Republican-leaning polling outfits.

The poling suggests that the race is narrowing further, but you'd have to give Hagan the edge. Much like in Iowa with Ernst, there's a slight, but persistent lead for the incumbent Democrat from North Carolina.
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2014 Predictions
Senate Misses: NC
Governor Misses: CO, KS, IL, FL, MD
JRP1994
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« Reply #4 on: November 03, 2014, 11:30:42 am »
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Between this and PPP/CFAP, this is looking like a dead-heat.

Hagan's pretty much had the lead in every poll except Republican-leaning polling outfits.

The poling suggests that the race is narrowing further, but you'd have to give Hagan the edge. Much like in Iowa with Ernst, there's a slight, but persistent lead for the incumbent Democrat from North Carolina.

I'd agree with that.
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KCDem
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« Reply #5 on: November 03, 2014, 11:34:27 am »
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Harper has shown Wehby leading in Oregon, JUNK POLL!
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JRP1994
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« Reply #6 on: November 03, 2014, 11:38:24 am »
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Harper has shown Wehby leading in Oregon, JUNK POLL!

The fact that they've shown a bad result in one state doesn't prove that it's a junk poll. It makes it more suspect, but it's not concrete evidence.

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KCDem
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« Reply #7 on: November 03, 2014, 11:40:58 am »
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Harper has shown Wehby leading in Oregon, JUNK POLL!

The fact that they've shown a bad result in one state doesn't prove that it's a junk poll. It makes it more suspect, but it's not concrete evidence.



They're a junk firm.
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IceSpear
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« Reply #8 on: November 03, 2014, 01:52:28 pm »
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Junk poll!
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Joshua
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« Reply #9 on: November 03, 2014, 02:24:35 pm »
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Junk poll!
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jfern
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« Reply #10 on: November 03, 2014, 02:38:22 pm »
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Being up 2 points in a Republican internal doesn't put you in charge.
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retromike22
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« Reply #11 on: November 03, 2014, 03:10:21 pm »
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http://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=255523.0

Send me a PM if you'd like to be a guest!

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Maxwell
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« Reply #12 on: November 03, 2014, 03:45:44 pm »
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This election will put Harper to the test - I suspect, like everyone else, it's garbage.
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Lief 🐋
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« Reply #13 on: November 03, 2014, 08:43:38 pm »
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New Poll: North Carolina Senator by Harper Polling on 2014-10-30

Summary: D: 44%, R: 46%, I: 6%, U: 4%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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fuck nazis
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« Reply #14 on: November 04, 2014, 11:20:36 pm »
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Spectacular poll!
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Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #15 on: November 05, 2014, 01:48:28 am »
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Harper is no longer junk.
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I would like to apologize to Senator John McCain, and anyone else who cares, for endorsing Ann Kirkpatrick for Senate '16. McCain showed on the Skinny Repeal Vote that he is a moderate and is a good choice for Arizona. He has my endorsement for any election he runs in in the future.



http://www.tengaged.com/user/JasonEldridge
----

'17 Gov. Ratings: https://tinyurl.com/h35xfkr (updated 6/15)
'18 House Rating: Strong Lean R
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