King
intermoderate
Atlas Star
Posts: 29,356
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« on: November 05, 2014, 10:49:33 AM » |
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« edited: November 05, 2014, 10:51:29 AM by King »
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It really wasn't different from 2010. The difference is that the 2010 wave happened with Democrat drawn gerrymander districts and 2014 was the same vote with Republican drawn gerrymander districts. 2010 Senate was an election of completely inept GOP nominees trying to defend 2004 seats while 2014 Senate was more vetted GOP nominees knocking around 2008 seats.
In 2010, the GOP was attempting to pick up Delaware and Nevada. In 2014, they were targeting North Carolina and South Dakota. That's a big difference. The gains came much easier this time.
I'd really be shocked if the GOP margin in national popular vote ended up being more than 1% better in 2014 than 2010, if even 1% at all.
The landslide of this election was predictable outcome and the shock of it is an optical illusion.
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